Rotherham United vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 35
  • Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.501.09
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1819
Shots on target
74
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
38
Passes
61% (187/308)65% (198/305)
Yellow cards
55
Expected goals (xG)
1.501.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.850.62
Total shots
1819
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
77
Blocked shots
48
Shots inside the box
1210
Shots outside the box
69
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
2723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
1411
Passes
61% (187/308)65% (198/305)
Long passes
30% (24/79)28% (20/71)
Passes in final third
58% (89/154)46% (41/89)
Crosses
48% (10/21)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.17
Throw ins
2130
Fouls
1114
Tackles
79% (15/19)35% (6/17)
Duels won
8365
Clearances
4542
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
46
xGOT faced
0.621.85
Goals prevented
0.620.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Rafferty J. , Yearwood D. (A),
  • 15', Baptiste J. 🟨,
  • 28', Harding W. 🟨,
  • 29', Benson J. 🟨,
  • 33', Martha A. 🟨,
  • 36', Adegboyega E. , Jules Z. ,
  • 42', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pleguezuelo J. , MacKenzie J. ,
  • 50', Finn T. , Amaechi X. ,
  • 53', Watmore D. , McWilliams S. ,
  • 53', Benson J. , Gore D. ,
  • 75', Gore D. 🟨,
  • 77', Rafferty J. 🟨,
  • 81', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 81', Edwards J. 🟨,
  • 81', Edwards J. , Oseni O. ,
  • 81', Sorinola M. , Paterson J. ,
  • 82', Martha A. , Agbaire L. ,
  • 87', MacKenzie J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rotherham United
29.8%
Draw
26.5%
Plymouth Argyle
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 27.1% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 26.1% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (3.09)
    3.54
    (3.45)
    2.15
    (2.19)
    6.8%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Plymouth will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 32%80.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Plymouth Argyle will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 2.
    • Rotherham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Plymouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Plymouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Plymouth will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Douglas H. (Injury) Gore D. (Injury) Hall D. (Inactive) Hugill J. (Inactive) Kaleta M. (Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury) Powell J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rotherham: Jules Z. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Kane H. (Injury) Ralls J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United 1:0
    05.04.2024 Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle 0:1
    16.12.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United 3:2
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two