Result
2:2
18/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 33
- Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (266/345) | 87% (428/492) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (266/345) | 87% (428/492) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/66) | 42% (16/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (44/79) | 80% (139/174) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 26% (8/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Repka O. ⚽,
- 33', Walemark P. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Walemark P. ⚽, Kozubal A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Jedrych A. 🟨,
- 58', Wasielewski M. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 1, Nowak B. ⚽,
- 59', Walemark P. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
- 70', Hotic D. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 70', Monka W. ↓, Douglas A. ↑,
- 70', Gurgul M. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
- 74', Galan B. ↓, Rogala G. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Gonzalez M. ⚽, Milic A. (A),
- 86', Mak M. ↓, Zrelak A. ↑,
- 86', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 86', Blad A. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 88', Wasielewski M. ↓, Marzec M. ↑,
- 90+1', Milic A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Marzec M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
GKS Katowice
18.7% | Draw
22.9% | Lech Poznań
58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5 ↑
(4.53) |
4.13 ↑
(4.02) |
1.61 ↓
(1.7) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lech Poznań will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- GKS Katowice has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lech is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lech is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Bergier S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F.
(Ankle Injury)
Murawski R.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
Thordarson G.
(Broken collarbone)
- There are questionable in GKS Katowice: Danek A.
(Knee Injury)
Zrelak A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lech: Jagiello F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, GKS Katowice won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Lech Poznań?
GKS Katowice has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against GKS Katowice?
Lech Poznań has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań were as follows:
23.11.2024
Lech Poznań
-
GKS Katowice
2:0
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
