Southampton vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton).

: Premier League - Round 32
Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.28	2.88
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
7	25
Shots on target
2	10
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
2	13
Passes
86% (300/349)	93% (496/535)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.28	2.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.33	3.27
Total shots
7	25
Shots on target
2	10
Shots off target
4	9
Blocked Shots
1	6
Shots inside the Box
5	13
Shots outside the Box
2	12
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
2	13
Touches in opposition box
8	48
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
4	11
Passes
86% (300/349)	93% (496/535)
Long passes
55% (26/47)	73% (16/22)
Passes in final third
72% (56/78)	88% (194/221)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	10% (3/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.13	1.39
Fouls
11	4
Tackles
58% (11/19)	44% (11/25)
Duels won
31	45
Clearances Total
37	19
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	2
xGOT faced
3.27	0.33
Goals prevented
0.27	0.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Fernandes M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Onuachu P. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
61', Archer C. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
61', Sulemana K. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
66', Rashford M. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
66', Ramsey J. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
68', Bednarek J. 🟨,
69', Asensio M. (Pen),
73', 0 - 1, Watkins O. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),
79', 0 - 2, Malen D. ⚽, Rogers M. (A),
82', Manning R. ↓, Sugawara Y. ↑,
86', Cash M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
86', Rogers M. ↓, McGinn J. ↑,
87', McGinn J. 🟨,
88', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
89', Fernandes M. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
89', Onana A. ↓, Kamara B. ↑,
90+4', Asensio M. (Pen),
90+4', 0 - 3, McGinn J. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Southampton
15.9%

Draw
21.3%

Aston Villa
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

22.3%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

22%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Southampton - Aston Villa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	6 ↑ (5.11)	4.54 ↑ (4.32)	1.54 ↓ (1.64)	3.8% (3.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Southampton - Aston Villa?

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (48 of 56 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.54% – 94.88%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
S`hampton is Relegated to Championship
Last 5 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 1.
S`hampton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Aston Villa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
S`hampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Aston Villa have a series of guest games.
In this match Aston Villa is a favorite.
There will not play in S`hampton: Downes F. (Yellow Cards) Gronbaek A. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in S`hampton: Taylor C. (Knock)
There are questionable in Aston Villa: Bailey L. (Knock)
Last 18 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 31:22 (average 1.7:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams S`hampton won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:9 (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Aston Villa?

Southampton has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Southampton?

Aston Villa has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Aston Villa were as follows:

07.12.2024 Aston Villa - Southampton 1:0

21.01.2023 Southampton - Aston Villa 0:1

16.09.2022 Aston Villa - Southampton 1:0

Latest results of Southampton

06.04.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton 3:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Southampton - Crystal Palace 1:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Southampton - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Liverpool - Southampton 3:1 ✺

25.02.2025 Chelsea - Southampton 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Aston Villa

09.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa 3:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 2:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

30.03.2025 Preston North End - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

20.03.2025 Al Ain - Aston Villa 1:3 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	West Ham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wolves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Southampton - Aston Villa?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, One Africa, Showmax, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Superscreen Channel 199, SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport OTT 3
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Belgium	Play Sports 3
Botswana	YTV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	fubo Sports Network 3 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 3
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Guinea	CIS
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
Iceland	Siminn Sport 2
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv, K24, Kameme TV
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 2, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Tubi TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6, Sky Sport NOW
Nigeria	SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Screen channel 199
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	Hub Premier 2
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, Superscreen Channel 199, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport PSL
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	UTV
Thailand	True Premier Football 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Uganda	NBS Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+
Zambia	ZNBC 1