Result
3:2
03/05/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 7 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Ktatau (Own goal),
- 11', 1 - 1, Kusso D. ⚽, Rodrigues A. (A),
- 22', 2 - 1, Joao Reis ⚽, Mateus Sarara (A),
- 25', 2 - 2, Simoes T. ⚽, Carraca (A),
- 38', Rodrigues A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 68', Kusso D. ↓, Esajas R. ↑,
- 68', Dauda M. ↓, Djassi D. ↑,
- 76', Cagro W. ↓, Mamede ↑,
- 76', Thauan Lara ↓, Heitor ↑,
- 78', Ktatau ↓, Tounkara M. ↑,
- 78', Rodrigues A. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
- 81', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,
- 86', Lobato S. ↓, Canario F. ↑,
- 88', Roberto ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 88', Reinaldo ↓, Wellington Carvalho ↑,
- 90+3', Heitor 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Pancadas Casimiro J. D. ⚽,
- 90+5', Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Portimonense
36.6% | Draw
28.2% | Chaves
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portimonense's performance.Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Portimonense - Chaves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(2.94) |
3.33 ↑
(3.12) |
2.71 ↑
(2.37) |
7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Portimonense - Chaves?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Chaves will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portimonense: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Chaves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Portimonense won against Chaves?
Portimonense has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Portimonense?
Chaves has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portimonense - Chaves were as follows:
20.12.2025
Chaves
-
Portimonense
0:1
12.04.2025
Chaves
-
Portimonense
2:0
30.11.2024
Portimonense
-
Chaves
1:2
07.04.2024
Chaves
-
Portimonense
2:3
11.11.2023
Portimonense
-
Chaves
2:1
Latest results of Portimonense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 9 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
