Roda vs Vitesse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
0:1
16/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 32
  • Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.551.17
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
53
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
104
Passes
88% (492/562)75% (262/349)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.551.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.800.99
Total shots
168
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
116
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
379
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1310
Passes
88% (492/562)75% (262/349)
Long passes
59% (20/34)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
80% (148/185)58% (51/88)
Crosses
28% (9/32)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.990.25
Throw ins
1824
Fouls
1013
Tackles
64% (7/11)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5447
Clearances
2141
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.990.80
Goals prevented
-0.010.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Bannis N. ⚽, Achouitar O. (A),
  • 25', Schwarz R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pinto J. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
  • 46', Griffith I. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
  • 46', van den Hurk A. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
  • 65', Van den Buijs D. ↓, Deom J. ↑,
  • 65', El Meliani R. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
  • 69', Tahaui A. ↓, te Veluwe K. ↑,
  • 69', Bannis N. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
  • 69', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Thenu X. ↑,
  • 76', Paulissen M. ↓, Wiedesheim-Paul R. ↑,
  • 80', Buttner A. ↓, Olde Keizer C. ↑,
  • 82', Huth E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 82', te Veluwe K. 🟨,
  • 84', Kalinauskas T. 🟨,
  • 87', Seedorf C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Roda
45.5%		Draw
24.9%		Vitesse
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 24.4% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 24.9% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
    •

    Roda - Vitesse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.05 ↑
    (1.92)    		 3.78 ↓
    (3.8)    		 3.15 ↓
    (3.37)    		 7%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Roda - Vitesse?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Vitesse will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 43.5% – 83.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Roda (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Vitesse (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Vitesse (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Roda (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vitesse (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Roda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Roda won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roda - Vitesse were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Vitesse - Roda 2:2
    19.04.2025 Vitesse - Roda 3:0
    26.11.2024 Roda - Vitesse 3:0
    Latest results of Roda
    13.03.2026 Cambuur - Roda 1:1 ✺
    06.03.2026 Roda - Jong PSV 0:2 ✺
    27.02.2026 Den Bosch - Roda 2:2 ✺
    22.02.2026 Roda - MVV Maastricht 2:0 ✺
    13.02.2026 Waalwijk - Roda 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Vitesse
    13.03.2026 Vitesse - Almere City 1:3 ✺
    08.03.2026 De Graafschap - Vitesse 1:4 ✺
    27.02.2026 Vitesse - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:0 ✺
    20.02.2026 Willem II - Vitesse 3:0 ✺
    14.02.2026 Vitesse - VVV-Venlo 2:2 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 33252674:324277
    2Cambuur32217466:372970
    3Willem II32158950:381253
    4De Graafschap321571059:51852
    5Almere City331641368:531552
    6Jong PSV331551362:58450
    7Waalwijk331391156:50648
    8Roda331212951:48348
    9Den Bosch331371358:59-146
    10Dordrecht3311101244:46-243
    11Eindhoven FC321241646:57-1140
    12Jong Utrecht331091451:55-439
    13Venlo331151741:51-1038
    14FC Emmen311071448:56-837
    15Vitesse331391151:49236
    16Maastricht33991539:66-2736
    17Jong AZ331041957:66-934
    18Helmond33971738:57-1934
    19Jong Ajax33881745:59-1432
    20Oss337111541:57-1632

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
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