Portsmouth vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Fratton Park (Portsmouth).

Championship - Round 37
Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.94	0.71
Ball possession
59%	41%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
6	0
Passes
72% (337/469)	69% (234/339)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.94	0.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.70	0.51
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked shots
2	2
Shots inside the box
8	5
Shots outside the box
1	3
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
6	0
Touches in opposition box
15	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
10	9
Passes
72% (337/469)	69% (234/339)
Long passes
36% (31/87)	34% (26/77)
Passes in final third
51% (75/147)	53% (45/85)
Crosses
21% (7/33)	33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	0.33
Throw ins
35	29
Fouls
9	10
Tackles
73% (11/15)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
55	41
Clearances
13	54
Interceptions
3	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.51	0.70
Goals prevented
-1.49	-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Galbraith E. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
33', Vipotnik Z. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Key J. ⚽, Ronald (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alli M. ↓, Chaplin C. ↑,
59', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
59', Galbraith E. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Brown J. ⚽, Swanson Z. (A),
69', Dia M. 🟨,
70', Key J. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
70', Franco G. ↓, Stamenic M. ↑,
71', Ward J. 🟨,
76', Brown J. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
83', Eom J. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
84', Dia M. ↓, Swift J. ↑,
88', Adams E. ↓, Blair H. ↑,

Chances of winning

Portsmouth
39.9%

Draw
29%

Swansea City
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

27.3%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.4%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Portsmouth - Swansea City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.51)	3.27 ↓ (3.46)	3.05 ↑ (2.7)	5.1% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Swansea City?

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 32 - 68.1%). Swansea will win (votes: 6 - 12.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 19.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 54.8% – 81.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Swansea (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Portsmouth (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Portsmouth (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Swansea (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 14).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Portsmouth has had a series of away games.
Portsmouth could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Portsmouth: Alese A. (Muscle Injury) Anderson K. (Hamstring Injury) Bianchini F. (Knee Injury) Dozzell A. (Ankle Injury) Knight J. (Back Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Knee Injury) Murphy J. (Foot Injury) Swift J. (Inactive) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Swansea: Idah A. (Groin Injury) Inoussa Z. (Injury)
There are questionable in Portsmouth: Kirk M. (Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
Including home match between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Swansea City?

Portsmouth has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Portsmouth?

Swansea City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Swansea City were as follows:

09.12.2025 Swansea City - Portsmouth 1:0

01.01.2025 Portsmouth - Swansea City 4:0

30.11.2024 Swansea City - Portsmouth 2:2

Latest results of Portsmouth

07.03.2026 Blackburn Rovers - Portsmouth 1:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Portsmouth - Hull City 0:1 ✺

24.02.2026 Wrexham - Portsmouth 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Millwall - Portsmouth 1:3 ✺

17.02.2026 Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Swansea City

07.03.2026 Swansea City - Stoke City 2:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Ipswich Town - Swansea City 3:0 ✺

24.02.2026 Swansea City - Preston North End 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Swansea City - Bristol City 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Derby County - Swansea City 2:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	46	28	11	7	97:45	52	95
2	Ipswich	46	23	15	8	80:47	33	84
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	15	83
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	26	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	25	80
6	Hull	46	21	10	15	70:66	4	73
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	4	71
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67:59	8	69
9	Norwich	46	19	8	19	63:56	7	65
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57:56	1	64
11	Swansea	46	18	10	18	57:59	-2	64
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	0	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	18	6	22	66:66	0	60
14	Preston	46	15	15	16	55:62	-7	60
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61:73	-12	58
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	-12	57
17	Stoke	46	15	10	21	51:56	-5	55
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	-15	55
19	Charlton	46	13	14	19	44:58	-14	53
20	Blackburn	46	13	13	20	42:56	-14	52
21	West Brom	46	13	14	19	48:58	-10	51
22	Oxford Utd	46	11	14	21	45:59	-14	47
23	Leicester	46	12	16	18	58:68	-10	46
24	Sheffield Wed	46	2	12	32	29:89	-60	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One