Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 33
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (226/347) | 74% (335/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (226/347) | 74% (335/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (21/75) | 36% (25/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (84/144) | 58% (64/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽,
- 44', Widell M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Earthy G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Gustavo Nunes ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 56', Randell A. ↓, Bird M. ↑,
- 56', Horvat T. ↓, Twine S. ↑,
- 65', Earthy G. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
- 66', Burgzorg D. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
- 70', Widell M. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 72', Armstrong S. 🟨,
- 79', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
- 79', Franco G. ↓, Walta L. ↑,
- 79', Galbraith E. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 80', Armstrong S. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
- 87', Fulton J. 🟨,
- 90', Bird M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Twine S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Swansea City
46.6% | Draw
27.3% | Bristol City
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Swansea City - Bristol City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.14) |
3.47 ↑
(3.46) |
3.63 ↑
(3.32) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Bristol City?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Bristol City will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 26.7% – 80.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Swansea could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Swansea: Idah A.
(Groin Injury)
Inoussa Z.
(Injury)
Santos R.
(Inactive)
Stamenic M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Bristol City: McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Bristol City?
Swansea City has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Swansea City?
Bristol City has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Bristol City were as follows:
22.11.2025
Bristol City
-
Swansea City
3:0
09.02.2025
Bristol City
-
Swansea City
0:1
29.09.2024
Swansea City
-
Bristol City
1:1
10.03.2024
Bristol City
-
Swansea City
1:0
02.09.2023
Swansea City
-
Bristol City
1:2
Latest results of Swansea City
Latest results of Bristol City
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry ✔ | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton ✔ | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd ✔ | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester ✔ | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Coventry is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
Southampton is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Oxford Utd is Relegated to League One
Leicester is Relegated to League One
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
