Result
Abandoned
05/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 16
- Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (226/283) | 72% (145/202) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (226/283) | 72% (145/202) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 23% (8/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (43/71) | 61% (20/33) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Vincent C. 🟨,
- 23', Durivaux D. 🟨,
- 31', Ray R. 🟨,
- 41', Khaoui S. E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Bastia
37.6% | Draw
31% | Red Star
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Star might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Star could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bastia - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(3.05) |
3.04 ↑
(3.03) |
2.97 ↑
(2.3) |
6.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bastia - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Red Star will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 24.9% – 69.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 1 - 50%). Red Star (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Red Star (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Bastia (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Red Star (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 3 - 50%). Red Star (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Red Star may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G.
(Knee Injury)
Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Bohnert F.
(Inactive)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Ducrocq T.
(Injury)
Guevara J.
(Inactive)
Guidi D.
(Yellow Cards)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
- There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Guindo S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Red Star?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Bastia?
Red Star has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Red Star were as follows:
21.02.2025
Bastia
-
Red Star
1:0
06.12.2024
Red Star
-
Bastia
0:0
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Reims | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | Red Star | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 40 |
| 6 | Dunkerque | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40:25 | 15 | 38 |
| 7 | Annecy | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Rodez | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | Nancy | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 21:32 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Clermont | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 | Amiens | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
| 17 | Bastia | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 12:25 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Laval | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 18:34 | -16 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
