Legia Warsaw vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 13
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 13
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.85
Ball Possession
34%66%
Goal Attempts
1216
Shots on Goal
211
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
42
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
12
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
91
Free Kicks
1615
Offsides
10
Fouls
1516
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
2013
Touches in the Opposition Box
2419
Passes
80% (259/325)88% (545/618)
Passes in the final third
75% (92/123)79% (81/103)
Crosses
9% (1/11)27% (3/11)
Tackles
50% (6/12)79% (15/19)
Clearances Total
1213
Interceptions
413

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Morishita R. , Gual M. (A),
  • 23', Bislimi U. 🟨,
  • 29', Wszolek P. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Bottani M. , Grgic A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', Mahou H. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 72', Celhaka J. , Sergio Barcia ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Hajdari A. ,
  • 78', Bottani M. , Cimignani Y. ,
  • 78', Belhadj M. , Doumbia O. ,
  • 82', Chodyna K. , Pekhart T. ,
  • 84', Kapustka B. 🟨,
  • 88', Bislimi U. , Mai L. ,
  • 90+1', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Gual M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Zanotti M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Luquinhas 🟨,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
51.8%
Draw
25%
Lugano
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29.1% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 27.6% 27.1%

Legia Warsaw - Lugano Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.82
(2.1)
3.76
(3.05)
4.05
(3.1)
6.4%
(12.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lugano?
  • Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.71%99.23%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Legia in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Legia have a series of guest games.
    • Legia will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Legia: Augustyniak R. (Injury) Elitim J. (Knee Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury) Oyedele M. (Ankle Injury) Tobiasz K. (Arm Injury) Vinagre R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lugano: Babic B. (Injury) Ryter Y. (Injury) Saipi A. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Lugano
    07.12.2024 Luzern - Lugano 1:4
    04.12.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 0:2
    01.12.2024 Servette - Lugano 3:0
    28.11.2024 Lugano - Gent 2:0
    24.11.2024 Lugano - Zürich 4:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
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    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

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