Leonesa vs Barakaldo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
810
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Revilla A. 🟨,
  • 26', Maestre S. 🟨,
  • 28', Jelbat A. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Samanes S. ,
  • 40', Maestre S. , Barri ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Txoperena U. , Santiago P. ,
  • 69', Samanes S. , Presa K. ,
  • 69', Justo M. , Escobar A. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Barri ,
  • 76', Molina E. , Naveira U. ,
  • 76', Valino A. , Isuskiza V. ,
  • 77', Calderon C. 🟨,
  • 83', Bicho , Lanchi ,
  • 83', Calderon C. , Ruiz A. ,
  • 83', Ortega G. 🟨,
  • 87', Jelbat A. , Bilbao L. ,
  • 87', Huidobro J. , Martinez J. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leonesa
58.9%
Draw
25.2%
Barakaldo
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 26.3% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 25.4% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Leonesa - Barakaldo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.59)
    3.69
    (3.48)
    5.73
    (5.68)
    8.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 10).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Leonesa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Barakaldo were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Barakaldo - Leonesa 3:0
    Latest results of Leonesa
    03.05.2025 Ourense CF - Leonesa 1:0
    12.04.2025 Tarazona - Leonesa 1:0
    05.04.2025 Leonesa - Arenteiro 1:0
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    03.05.2025 Barakaldo - Amorebieta 2:0
    19.04.2025 Barakaldo - Sestao 2:3
    12.04.2025 Osasuna B - Barakaldo 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife26184447:153258
    2Celta Vigo B26147542:311149
    3Pontevedra261011532:201241
    4Lugo261010626:22440
    5Ponferradina26116928:22639
    6AD Merida26116936:34239
    7Ath Bilbao B26116928:29-139
    8Real Madrid B261151032:34-238
    9Barakaldo26910734:29537
    10Unionistas26107937:33437
    11Racing Club Ferrol261141130:31-137
    12Zamora2699833:31236
    13Arenas Getxo261031330:37-733
    14Real Aviles26951239:45-632
    15Ourense CF26871130:31-131
    16CF Talavera26841428:37-928
    17Cacereno266101025:34-928
    18Guadalajara26671323:40-1725
    19Arenteiro26661423:33-1024
    20Osasuna B26491317:32-1521

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation