Washington Spirit vs San Diego Wave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football NWSL
Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NWSL Women
  • Referee: Dopka G. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 2
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+, NSWL+, NWSL+ app
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.490.82
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
111
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
80% (280/348)79% (316/400)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
3.490.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.740.74
Total shots
228
Shots on target
111
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
101
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
3416
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1420
Passes
80% (280/348)79% (316/400)
Long passes
51% (18/35)38% (13/34)
Passes in final third
73% (83/114)58% (60/104)
Crosses
50% (3/6)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.39
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
2014
Tackles
74% (14/19)68% (17/25)
Duels won
5054
Clearances
2414
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
19
xGOT faced
0.742.74
Goals prevented
-0.260.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Kouassi R. ⚽, Abiodun D. (A),
  • 38', Robbe M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Leon A. ↓, Cascarino D. ↑,
  • 57', Robbe M. ↓, Carusa K. ↑,
  • 62', Lundkvist H. 🟨,
  • 69', Abiodun D. 🟨,
  • 71', Cascarino D. 🟨,
  • 72', Santos L. ↓, Miura N. ↑,
  • 73', Lundkvist H. ↓, Armstrong T. ↑,
  • 82', Monday G. ↓, Cantore S. ↑,
  • 85', Corley G. ↓, Fusco J. ↑,
  • 86', Dudinha ↓, McMahon Q. ↑,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Cascarino D. ⚽, Carusa K. (A),
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, Abiodun D. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Washington Spirit
51.1%		Draw
25.2%		San Diego Wave
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 26.1% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 25.3% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Washington Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Spirit than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
    •

    Washington Spirit - San Diego Wave Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.81 ↓
    (1.85)    		 3.68 ↑
    (3.52)    		 3.9 ↑
    (3.82)    		 8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington Spirit won 1.
    • Washington Spirit is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • San Diego Wave is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Washington Spirit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Washington Spirit is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Washington Spirit won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Washington Spirit won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Washington Spirit - San Diego Wave were as follows:
    22.06.2025 San Diego Wave - Washington Spirit 0:0
    01.09.2024 San Diego Wave - Washington Spirit 1:1
    15.06.2024 Washington Spirit - San Diego Wave 1:1
    08.07.2023 San Diego Wave - Washington Spirit 2:2
    06.05.2023 Washington Spirit - San Diego Wave 3:1
    Latest results of Washington Spirit
    01.10.2025 NJ NY Gotham - Washington Spirit 0:0
    28.09.2025 Washington Spirit - Houston Dash 4:0
    18.09.2025 Angel City - Washington Spirit 2:2
    13.09.2025 Kansas City Current - Washington Spirit 0:0
    07.09.2025 Washington Spirit - Seattle Reign 2:0
    Latest results of San Diego Wave
    26.09.2025 San Diego Wave - Orlando Pride 1:2
    20.09.2025 Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave 1:1
    12.09.2025 San Diego Wave - NJ NY Gotham 0:2
    07.09.2025 San Diego Wave - Houston Dash 0:3 ✺
    29.08.2025 Seattle Reign - San Diego Wave 0:0
    NWSL Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Angel City W22007:166
    2Houston Dash W22004:046
    3Portland Thorns W22003:036
    4North Carolina Courage W21102:114
    5Gotham W21101:014
    6Kansas City Current W21013:303
    7San Diego Wave W21012:203
    8Bay FC W21013:4-13
    9Seattle Reign W21012:3-13
    10Chicago W21012:5-33
    11Racing Louisville W20113:4-11
    12Washington Spirit W20112:3-11
    13Denver Summit W20112:3-11
    14Orlando Pride W20112:3-11
    15Utah Royals W20022:4-20
    16Boston Legacy W20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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