Result
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Indy Eleven
46.9% | Draw
26.6% | Birmingham Legion
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.93) |
3.48 ↑
(3.43) |
3.48 ↓
(3.6) |
8.3%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 5.
- Indy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Birmingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Indy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Indy might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Indy won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Birmingham Legion?
Indy Eleven has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Indy Eleven?
Birmingham Legion has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
04.06.2025
Birmingham Legion
-
Indy Eleven
0:1
19.10.2024
Indy Eleven
-
Birmingham Legion
3:2
09.06.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Indy Eleven
0:1
09.08.2023
Indy Eleven
-
Birmingham Legion
4:0
17.06.2023
Birmingham Legion
-
Indy Eleven
2:1
Latest results of Indy Eleven
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
