Guidonia Montecelio vs Livorno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Citta dell Aria (Guidonia Montecelio).

Serie C - Group B - Round 22
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio

Match Stats


Ball possession
47%	53%
Total shots
0	2
Shots on target
0	2
Corner kicks
2	5
Yellow cards
2	3
Total shots
0	2
Shots on target
0	2
Shots off target
0	0
Corner kicks
2	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Falasco N. 🟨,
20', Tascone S. 🟨,
23', Mawete J. C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Esempio S. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Dionisi F. ⚽,
67', 🟨,
69', Tascone S. ↓, Bernardotto G. ↑,
69', Sannipoli D. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
73', Hamlili Z. ↓, Odjer M. ↑,
73', Peralta D. ↓, Biondi K. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Biondi K. ⚽,
78', Vitturini D. ↓, Stefanelli F. ↑,
86', Mawete J. C. ↓, Gentile D. ↑,
86', Zappella D. ↓, Spavone A. ↑,
86', Santoro S. ↓, Russo L. ↑,
90+2', Dionisi F. ↓, Bonassi L. ↑,
90+2', Marchesi F. ↓, Panaioli L. ↑,

Chances of winning

Guidonia Montecelio
42.9%

Draw
29.6%

Livorno
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

25.8%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

24.6%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Livorno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.26)	3.09 ↓ (3.56)	3.33 ↑ (2.75)	9.2% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Guidonia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guidonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Guidonia Montecelio won against Livorno?

Guidonia Montecelio has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Livorno won against Guidonia Montecelio?

Livorno has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno were as follows:

07.09.2025 Livorno - Guidonia Montecelio 0:1

18.12.2024 Livorno - Guidonia Montecelio 2:3

Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio

11.01.2026 Pineto - Guidonia Montecelio 3:3 ✺

04.01.2026 Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia 1:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Carpi - Guidonia Montecelio 1:1 ✺

14.12.2025 Guidonia Montecelio - Ascoli 0:0 ✺

07.12.2025 Guidonia Montecelio - Juventus U23 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Livorno

11.01.2026 Livorno - Juventus U23 1:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Ternana - Livorno 2:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Livorno - Pontedera 2:2 ✺

06.12.2025 Livorno - Arezzo 2:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Gubbio - Livorno 0:0 ✺

Italian Serie C Group B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arezzo	33	21	8	4	55:22	33	71
2	Ascoli	33	21	8	4	59:22	37	71
3	Ravenna	34	20	7	7	48:30	18	67
4	Campobasso	33	15	9	9	47:37	10	52
5	Pineto	33	13	10	10	41:39	2	49
6	Juventus U23	33	13	9	11	43:41	2	48
7	Pianese	33	10	15	8	33:32	1	45
8	Ternana	33	13	10	10	39:34	5	44
9	Gubbio	33	10	13	10	28:31	-3	43
10	Vis Pesaro	33	10	13	10	33:32	1	43
11	Livorno	34	11	7	16	37:49	-12	40
12	Guidonia	33	8	14	11	28:31	-3	38
13	Carpi	33	9	10	14	32:42	-10	37
14	Perugia	33	8	12	13	35:40	-5	36
15	Forli	33	9	9	15	39:48	-9	36
16	Torres	33	6	16	11	31:42	-11	34
17	Sambenedettese	34	6	13	15	25:34	-9	31
18	Bra	33	6	12	15	34:50	-16	30
19	Pontedera	33	3	11	19	26:57	-31	20
20	Rimini	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Serie B
      Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
      Serie C ~ Play Out
      Relegation