Result
0:1
25/02/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mathare United 25.1% | Draw 33.1% | Shabana 41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Shabana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Mathare United - Shabana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.61 ↑ (3.22) |
2.74 ↓ (2.95) |
2.17 ↓ (2.25) |
10.3% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Mathare United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shabana is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Mathare United has had a series of home games.
- Shabana could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Mathare United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Shabana?
Mathare United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shabana won against Mathare United?
Shabana has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Shabana were as follows:
26.10.2025
Shabana
-
Mathare United
0:1
16.02.2025
Shabana
-
Mathare United
0:0
21.12.2024
Mathare United
-
Shabana
1:0
Latest results of Mathare United
Latest results of Shabana
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League