Result
3:3
01/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport, Idman TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Medina K. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Aliyev K. ⚽,
- 23', Ygor Nogueira 🟨,
- 31', Solvet S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Aliyev K. ↓, Mickels J. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 2, Malouda A. ⚽,
- 60', 0 - 3, Mickels J. ⚽,
- 62', Jankovic M. ↓, Leandro Andrade ↑,
- 62', Kashchuk O. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 3, Pedro Bicalho ⚽,
- 76', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
- 78', Zoubir A. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 3, Medina K. ⚽,
- 79', Malouda A. ↓, Parris K. ↑,
- 79', Isayev A. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 3, Qurbanly M. ⚽,
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+9', 🟨,
- 90+9', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Qarabağ Agdam
47.4% | Draw
26.5% | Sabah
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-2%)
Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(1.99) |
3.46 ↑
(3.1) |
3.53 ↓
(3.81) |
8.9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah?
Users Predictions:
Qarabağ Agdam will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Qarabağ Agdam will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 0.
- Qarabağ has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sabah is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Qarabağ has had a series of away games.
- Qarabağ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 43:31. (average 2.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qarabağ won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 2.5:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Sabah?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sabah won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Sabah has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah were as follows:
18.12.2025
Sabah
-
Qarabağ Agdam
2:1
31.05.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Sabah
2:3
27.04.2025
Sabah
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:1
22.02.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Sabah
1:1
07.12.2024
Sabah
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:1
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
