Result
2:1
22/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Azerbaijan Cup - Semi-finals
- Referee: Hamzazade R. (Aze)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Ygor Nogueira 🟨,
- 12', Solvet S. 🟨,
- 17', Pokatilov S. 🟨,
- 36', Kochalski M. 🟥,
- 41', Leandro Andrade ↓, Buntic F. ↑,
- 44', Malouda A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', 0 - 1, Duran C. ⚽,
- 74', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Simic V. ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 1, Mbina O. ⚽,
- 90', Addai E. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
- 90', Kady Borges ↓, Zoubir A. ↑,
- 90+6', Duran C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sabah
33.2% | Draw
27.6% | Qarabağ Agdam
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sabah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sabah's form might have worsened.Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qarabağ Agdam's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sabah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.29) |
3.29 ↑
(3) |
2.32 ↓
(3.15) |
9.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 2-2. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 3.
- Sabah is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Qarabağ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:40. (average 1.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sabah won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Sabah won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Sabah has won 6 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Sabah?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 5 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam were as follows:
18.04.2026
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Sabah
0:1
03.04.2026
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Sabah
2:2
01.03.2026
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Sabah
3:3
18.12.2025
Sabah
-
Qarabağ Agdam
2:1
31.05.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Sabah
2:3
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Draw
2025/261/16-finals| 1 | Sabail | Shamakhi | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Goygol | Baku Sporting | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Qarabag | Bye | |
| 4 | Karvan | Sheki City | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Lokbatan | Imisli FK | 2 : 3 |
| 6 | Bye | Sabah Baku | |
| 7 | Gabala | Mingachevir | 5 : 1 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | Safa Baku | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Shimal | Sahdag Qusar | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Dinamo Baki | Turan Tovuz | 0 : 5 |
| 11 | Araz | Bye | |
| 12 | Kapaz | Agstafa Gencleri | 6 : 1 |
| 13 | Khankendi | Difai Agsu | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Zaqatala | Sumqayit | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Zira | Bye | |
| 16 | Neftci Baku | MOIK Baku | 6 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Shamakhi | Baku Sporting | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Qarabag | Karvan | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Imisli FK | Sabah Baku | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Gabala | Safa Baku | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | Turan Tovuz | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Araz | Kapaz | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Difai Agsu | Sumqayit | 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Zira | Neftci Baku | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shamakhi | Qarabag | 1 : 3, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | Gabala | 4 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | Kapaz | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sumqayit | Zira | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Qarabag | Sabah Baku | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
| 2 | Turan Tovuz | Zira | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
Final
