Result
3:1
19/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Parris K. ⚽,
- 34', Parris K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 0, Mickels J. ⚽,
- 59', Vasquez R. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
- 59', Murata M. ↓, Ninkovic N. ↑,
- 68', Jankovic A. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 0, Simic V. ⚽,
- 74', Ramalingom A. ↓, Ahmadzada N. ↑,
- 74', Senhadji R. ↓, Haqverdi H. ↑,
- 84', Isayev A. ↓, Ould Khaled Z. ↑,
- 84', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
- 84', Simic V. ↓, Aliyev K. ↑,
- 86', Mickels J. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Simon N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sabah
70.2% | Draw
19.4% | Sumgayit
10.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabah's performance.Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sumgayit might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabah that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sumgayit could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sabah - Sumgayit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.57) |
4.69 ↑
(3.63) |
8.76 ↑
(5.2) |
9.9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sabah - Sumgayit?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabah (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sabah will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 2.
- Sabah is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sumgayit has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sabah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sabah is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Sabah will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 46:14. (average 2.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sabah won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sabah won against Sumgayit?
Sabah has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Sabah?
Sumgayit has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sabah - Sumgayit were as follows:
22.12.2025
Sumgayit
-
Sabah
1:3
28.09.2025
Sabah
-
Sumgayit
1:1
29.03.2025
Sumgayit
-
Sabah
3:3
27.02.2025
Sumgayit
-
Sabah
0:4
05.02.2025
Sabah
-
Sumgayit
0:0
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 72:21 | 51 | 75 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Zira | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
