Result
16/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Chances of winning
Liverpool Montevideo
23.6% | Draw
27.2% | Peñarol de Montevideo
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.94 ↑
(3.88) |
3.48 ↑
(3.46) |
1.9
(1.9) |
6.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Peñarol de Montevideo will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.
- Liverpool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Peñarol is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Liverpool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Peñarol is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Liverpool Montevideo won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Liverpool Montevideo has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Liverpool Montevideo?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
13.09.2025
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:2
10.09.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Liverpool Montevideo
2:1
19.06.2025
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
3:2
20.03.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Liverpool Montevideo
0:3
09.11.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Liverpool Montevideo
2:0
Latest results of Liverpool Montevideo
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 30:12 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Nacional | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Boston River | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 26:10 | 16 | 26 |
| 5 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 | Danubio | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:13 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 | Progreso | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8:13 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | River Plate | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Miramar | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 13 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9:26 | -17 | 8 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7:25 | -18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
