Mansfield Town vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 26

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.650.54
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
72
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
136
Passes
72% (258/359)70% (260/373)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.650.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.06
Total shots
167
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
107
Shots outside the box
60
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
136
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1010
Passes
72% (258/359)70% (260/373)
Long passes
25% (16/65)26% (23/88)
Passes in final third
56% (88/158)57% (44/77)
Crosses
21% (8/38)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.79
Throw ins
3032
Fouls
1010
Tackles
71% (5/7)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4851
Clearances
2952
Interceptions
1317
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
0.060.77
Goals prevented
0.06-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Burns F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', Fraser L. , Lane P. ,
  • 66', Doyle K. , Ritchie M. ,
  • 67', Adeboyejo V. , Oates R. ,
  • 67', Russell J. , Hendry R. ,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Reed L. , Evans W. (A),
  • 74', Nyambe R. , Keane W. ,
  • 74', Ehibhatiomhan K. , Patton S. ,
  • 76', Hewitt E. , Bowery J. ,
  • 80', McLaughlin S. , Irow O. ,
  • 80', Abbott G. , Lewis A. ,
  • 84', Williams R. , Yiadom A. ,
  • 90+3', Wing L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mansfield Town
41.4%
Draw
28.7%
Reading
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 27.9% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 28.1% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Mansfield Town - Reading Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.4)
    3.27
    (3.25)
    3.12
    (2.65)
    6.2%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Reading?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Reading will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 29.6%90.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Reading (2.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to FA Cup.
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)
    • Mansfield is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Reading is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Reading may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Hendry R. (Inactive) Knoyle K. (Inactive) Maris G. (Inactive) Roberts T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Bowery J. (Inactive) Gardner J. (Inactive) Hewitt E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Lane P. (Inactive) Williams D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Reading were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Reading - Mansfield Town 1:1
    21.04.2025 Mansfield Town - Reading 1:5
    29.12.2024 Reading - Mansfield Town 2:1
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    Latest results of Reading
    07.03.2026 Luton Town - Reading 2:3
    28.02.2026 Reading - Bradford City 2:1
    21.02.2026 Port Vale - Reading 1:1
    17.02.2026 Reading - Bolton Wanderers 1:1
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 42289579:364393
    2Cardiff41249876:423481
    3Bradford City422181352:46671
    4Bolton421816859:441570
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4119101243:38567
    7Plymouth421961766:58863
    8Huddersfield4217111465:56962
    9Reading4316141362:55762
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4014121463:65-254
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
    18Blackpool431492051:65-1451
    19Leyton Orient421482057:66-950
    20AFC Wimbledon421482049:63-1450
    21Exeter4312112047:55-847
    22Rotherham419102236:62-2637
    23Northampton41982434:60-2635
    24Port Vale398102130:54-2434

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship