Result
2:3
07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 36
- Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (336/416) | 78% (266/342) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 3.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (336/416) | 78% (266/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/55) | 40% (26/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (105/160) | 53% (42/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 35% (6/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.11 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Ehibhatiomhan K. ⚽,
- 21', Fraser L. 🟨,
- 44', O'Connor P. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Lonwijk N. ⚽, Lawrence E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', 2 - 1, Saville G. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
- 61', Fraser L. ↓, Patton S. ↑,
- 66', Richards J. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
- 66', Cole D. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
- 70', Clark J. 🟨,
- 72', Doyle K. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
- 72', Yiadom A. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
- 78', Palmer K. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 78', Lawrence E. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
- 80', Williams D. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 2, Ehibhatiomhan K. ⚽, Ritchie M. (A),
- 84', 2 - 3, Ehibhatiomhan K. ⚽, Ritchie M. (A),
- 88', Jones I. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 90+1', Pereira J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Burns F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
53.2% | Draw
25.3% | Reading
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)The chances for Reading have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Luton Town - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.75) |
3.71 ↑
(3.64) |
4.33 ↑
(4.3) |
6.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Reading?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Reading will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 17% – 68.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reading will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2.
- Recent performances by Luton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Reading is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Reading may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Luton is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Mengi T.
(Injury)
Sandal S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Inactive)
Kyerewaa D.
(Inactive)
O'Mahony M.
(Inactive)
Roberts H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Bramall C.
(Inactive)
Odoffin H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Reading: Rinomhota A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Reading?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Luton Town?
Reading has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Reading were as follows:
18.12.2025
Reading
-
Luton Town
3:2
19.04.2023
Reading
-
Luton Town
1:1
01.11.2022
Luton Town
-
Reading
0:0
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Reading
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 45 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 87:41 | 46 | 100 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 45 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton ✔ | 45 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 68:49 | 19 | 75 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 68:57 | 11 | 74 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 56:50 | 6 | 74 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 72 |
| 7 | Luton | 45 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 65:54 | 11 | 71 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 72:61 | 11 | 70 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 70:64 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Reading | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 64:59 | 5 | 63 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 66:56 | 10 | 60 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67:70 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 47:68 | -21 | 57 |
| 16 | Wigan | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 56 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 63:65 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 48:58 | -10 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 51:68 | -17 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 57:69 | -12 | 51 |
| 21 | Exeter | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 51:59 | -8 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 45 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 36:59 | -23 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 39:68 | -29 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 45 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 37:71 | -34 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
