Result
1:2
24/08/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 3
- Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (389/471) | 75% (303/405) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (389/471) | 75% (303/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (29/53) | 41% (26/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (88/124) | 58% (50/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Rots M. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Rots D. ⚽, Rots M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Linday M. ↓, Trenskow J. ↑,
- 47', van Overeem J. 🟨,
- 70', van den Belt T. ↓, Unuvar N. ↑,
- 70', Booth T. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 75', Meerveld R. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
- 77', Rots M. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
- 80', Brouwers L. 🟨,
- 80', van Wolfswinkel R. 🟨,
- 81', Zagaritis V. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
- 81', Rivera M. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 2, Unuvar N. ⚽,
- 90+3', Unuvar N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Rots D. ↓, Orjasaeter S. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Sejk V. ⚽, van Overeem J. (A),
- 90+7', Brouwers L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
30.9% | Draw
26.6% | Twente
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)The chances for Twente have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Heerenveen - Twente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↑
(2.93) |
3.62 ↓
(3.65) |
2.26 ↑
(2.2) |
3.2%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Twente?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Twente will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 0.
- In recent matches, Heerenveen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Twente is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Twente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Brouwers L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Twente?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Heerenveen?
Twente has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Twente were as follows:
09.02.2025
Heerenveen
-
Twente
3:3
17.09.2024
Twente
-
Heerenveen
2:0
03.04.2024
Heerenveen
-
Twente
3:3
30.09.2023
Twente
-
Heerenveen
1:0
04.06.2023
Twente
-
Heerenveen
4:0
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Groningen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Sittard | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:19 | -11 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Heerenveen | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
| 18 | Heracles | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
