Alverca vs Portimonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 34
  • Referee: Martins T. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
263
Shots on target
193
Corner Kicks
91
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Total shots
263
Shots on target
193
Shots off target
70
Corner Kicks
91
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1012
Throw-ins
227
Fouls
109
Goalkeeper Saves
217

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Alemao 🟨,
  • 10', Alemao 🟨,
  • 12', Monteiro T. , John K. ,
  • 15', 1 - 0, David Bruno ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Duran C. , Joao Neto ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Varela F. , Carter A. (A),
  • 69', David Bruno , Pereira R. ,
  • 69', Martins D. , Pires M. ,
  • 70', Paulo V. , Kim Yong-Hak ,
  • 71', Diaby M. , Omrani S. ,
  • 71', Djassi D. , Alegria J. ,
  • 78', Joao Bravim , Silva P. ,
  • 78', Carter A. , Joao Marcos ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, John K. ,
  • 90+2', Brenner , Alysson ,

Chances of winning


Alverca
73.9%
Draw
16.3%
Portimonense
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 22.1% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7% 21% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alverca's performance.
  • Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portimonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alverca that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portimonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alverca - Portimonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.52)
    5.68
    (4.23)
    9.44
    (5.76)
    6.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Alverca - Portimonense?
  • Users Predictions: Alverca will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alverca will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 15).
    • Alverca is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Portimonense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Alverca is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Alverca will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Portimonense were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Portimonense - Alverca 1:0
    Latest results of Alverca
    11.05.2025 Tondela - Alverca 1:2
    29.04.2025 Chaves - Alverca 0:2
    20.04.2025 Alverca - Oliveirense 4:0
    13.04.2025 Vizela - Alverca 1:1
    Latest results of Portimonense
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo32206649:252466
    2Academico Viseu32167956:332355
    3Torreense311551137:30750
    4Leiria321310950:43749
    5Vizela321391038:36248
    6Feirense321291134:36-245
    7Benfica B3211111043:40344
    8Leixoes321351442:53-1144
    9Lusitania FC3211101142:48-643
    10FC Porto B311261337:42-542
    11Chaves321261438:37142
    12Sporting CP B321321741:33841
    13Felgueiras3110101128:35-740
    14SC Farense321091330:35-539
    15Penafiel311081333:34-138
    16Portimonense321061637:48-1136
    17Pacos Ferreira328111331:46-1535
    18Oliveirense327101531:43-1231

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3