Result
0:3
12/03/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 24
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
Chances of winning
Marítimo
8.5% | Draw
16.1% | Benfica
75.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Marítimo - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
11.56 ↑
(9.05) |
5.69 ↑
(5.23) |
1.25 ↓
(1.29) |
5.9%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Benfica?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). Benfica will win (votes: 27 - 79.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 65.8% – 93%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (41.91%), has project points - 28, has currently - 16, has a good chance of relegated (57%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Benfica has the most likely position - 1 (89.77%), has project points - 86, has currently - 62, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (>99%), has a good chance of win league (90%).
- This event has quality 55, importance 53, match rating 54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 0.
- Marítimo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Benfica in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Benfica is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Marítimo: Mendes D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Benfica: Draxler J.
(Ankle Injury)
Ristic M.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 26 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 22 matches and goals 16-83.
- Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-21.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Benfica?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Marítimo?
Benfica has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Benfica were as follows:
18.09.2022
Benfica
-
Marítimo
5:0
Latest results of Marítimo
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
