Result
1:2
08/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Cup - Semi-finals
- Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Afghanistan | Solh Sports 1, Tolo TV |
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 3, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
 Albania | SuperSport 1 |
 Angola | Z Sports 2 |
 Argentina | Flow Eventos, Flow Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | BTV Action, Voyo |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Europe | Go3 Sport 1 Baltic |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | L'Equipe, L'Equipe Live Foot |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Action 24 |
 Haiti | Canal+ Sport 1 |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Malaysia | Canal+ Sport 3 |
 Maldives | ICE Xtra, Medianet |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Peru | America TV GO, America TV |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Sweden | Sport Bladet Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tajikistan | Futbol TV |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes |
 Venezuela | Inter, Meridiano, Venevision Play, Venevision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (467/538) | 84% (382/453) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (467/538) | 84% (382/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (16/28) | 58% (38/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (161/203) | 74% (81/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.13 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Valverde F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gallagher C. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
- 55', 0 - 2, Rodrygo ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
- 58', 1 - 2, Sorloth A. ⚽, Simeone G. (A),
- 60', Koke ↓, Cardoso J. ↑,
- 60', Baena A. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
- 69', Asencio R. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
- 69', Rudiger A. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 74', Sorloth A. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
- 80', Ruggeri M. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
- 81', Vinicius Junior ↓, Guler A. ↑,
- 81', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
- 81', Simeone D. 🟨,
- 87', Rodrygo ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
- 87', Camavinga E. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3h2nzu76
Chances of winning
Atlético Madrid
30% | Draw
26.2% | Real Madrid
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↑
(3.12) |
3.65 ↑
(3.59) |
2.18 ↓
(2.2) |
4.7%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid?
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 8 - 14.8%). Real will win (votes: 36 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 54.1% – 79.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Atlético (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético (votes: 1 - 4%). Real (votes: 17 - 68%). Tie (votes: 7 - 28%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 1.
- Atlético is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Real is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Atlético has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético: Gonzalez N.
(Muscle Injury)
Lenglet C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Real: Eder Militao
(Hamstring Injury)
Mbappe K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 32:32. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Real Madrid?
Atlético Madrid has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Atlético Madrid?
Real Madrid has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid were as follows:
27.09.2025
Atlético Madrid
-
Real Madrid
5:2
12.03.2025
Atlético Madrid
-
Real Madrid
1:1
04.03.2025
Real Madrid
-
Atlético Madrid
2:1
08.02.2025
Real Madrid
-
Atlético Madrid
1:1
29.09.2024
Atlético Madrid
-
Real Madrid
1:1
Latest results of Atlético Madrid
Latest results of Real Madrid
Draw
2026Semi-finals| 1 | Barcelona | Ath Bilbao | 5 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | Atl. Madrid | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Barcelona | Real Madrid | 3 : 2 |
