Chicago Fire II vs Cincinnati 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.54
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
81% (314/390)80% (326/406)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.860.99
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
81% (314/390)80% (326/406)
Long passes
36% (14/39)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
66% (49/74)71% (92/129)
Crosses
13% (1/8)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.83
Throw-ins
2225
Fouls
1019
Tackles
47% (7/15)59% (16/27)
Duels won
5453
Clearances
1315
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.991.86
Goals prevented
-0.01-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Chirila S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', Opeyemi M. , Ramos Y. ,
  • 55', Pfrommer J. , Hyte D. ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Mangione P. , Chirila S. (A),
  • 75', Turdean R. , Poreba D. ,
  • 75', Berg H. , Oyegunle O. ,
  • 75', Borso D. , Herrera E. ,
  • 77', Locker C. 🟨,
  • 77', Locker C. , Kristel B. ,
  • 78', Mangione P. , Ikoba T. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Poreba D. (Pen),
  • 90', del Valle Y. , Sphire C. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Montiel J. , Hyte D. (A),
  • 90+2', Montiel J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire II
44.9%
Draw
23.4%
Cincinnati 2
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 24.2% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 23.2% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.92)
    3.92
    (3.79)
    2.9
    (3.29)
    8.9%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chicago Fire II will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 3.
    • Chicago Fire II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cincinnati 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Chicago Fire II could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Chicago Fire II will win today's game, with odds of 1.89.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 2:1
    30.03.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    08.09.2024 Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 1:2
    28.07.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 5:0
    17.03.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    2Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    3Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    4New England Revolution II522016:410
    5Connecticut FC520038:116
    6Toronto FC II5102210:75
    7Cincinnati 2510043:83
    8New York City II401121:73


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2Chattanooga6301213:1110
    3Atlanta United 2630129:810
    4Chicago Fire II513014:49
    5Orlando City B5210211:138
    6Huntsville511128:146
    7Inter Miami II601236:144
    8Carolina Core500235:102


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County6320111:713
    2San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    3Real Monarchs5220112:810
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    5Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    6Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    7Tacoma Defiance601143:103


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3North Texas6211211:99
    4Austin FC II520217:78
    5Minnesota 2520036:86
    6Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    7Colorado Rapids 2500236:132


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    3Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    4Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    5Chattanooga6301213:1110
    6Atlanta United 2630129:810
    7New England Revolution II522016:410
    8Chicago Fire II513014:49
    9Orlando City B5210211:138
    10Connecticut FC520038:116
    11Huntsville511128:146
    12Toronto FC II5102210:75
    13Inter Miami II601236:144
    14Cincinnati 2510043:83
    15New York City II401121:73
    16Carolina Core500235:102


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3Ventura County6320111:713
    4San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    5Real Monarchs5220112:810
    6North Texas6211211:99
    7Austin FC II520217:78
    8Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    9Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    10Minnesota 2520036:86
    11Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    12Tacoma Defiance601143:103
    13Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    14Colorado Rapids 2500236:132

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