Chicago Fire II vs Cincinnati 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2
Result
2:1
09/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.54
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
78% (303/389)79% (308/392)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.951.10
Total shots
179
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
1417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
78% (303/389)79% (308/392)
Long passes
45% (33/74)32% (14/44)
Passes in final third
72% (69/96)60% (74/124)
Crosses
29% (5/17)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.39
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
1416
Tackles
56% (10/18)55% (12/22)
Duels won
6461
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.101.95
Goals prevented
0.10-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Caicedo Y. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Diouf J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ikoba T. , Mboma K. ,
  • 63', Caicedo Y. , Hurtado D. ,
  • 63', Augee B. , Chavez A. ,
  • 63', Manyana X. , Mangione P. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Shokalook J. , Cassano C. (A),
  • 74', 2 - 1, Mboma K. , Mangione P. (A),
  • 75', Reynolds J. , Nagle C. ,
  • 77', Hlyut V. 🟨,
  • 84', Hlyut V. , Montiel J. ,
  • 85', Cassano C. , Calle J. ,
  • 89', Shokalook J. , Boltz D. ,
  • 90+1', Adnan N. , Sakr A. ,
  • 90+5', Crockford N. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire II
38.6%
Draw
25.7%
Cincinnati 2
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 25.8% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.6% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.36)
    3.61
    (3.57)
    2.59
    (2.63)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Chicago Fire II has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Cincinnati 2 has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    08.09.2024 Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 1:2
    28.07.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 5:0
    17.03.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    10.08.2023 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:5
    Latest results of Chicago Fire II
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2161012339:2834
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    4New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    5New York City II16523630:3322
    6Toronto FC II15603616:2321
    7Cincinnati 215260715:2318
    8Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga16822424:2130
    2Huntsville14632329:1726
    3Orlando City B16621723:2923
    4Crown Legacy15334523:2719
    5Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    6Carolina Core15324620:2117
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs13523325:2222
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    7Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2161110432:2235
    2Colorado Rapids 217803628:2627
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Austin FC II15533417:1624
    5Houston Dynamo 216531722:2322
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2161012339:2834
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chattanooga16822424:2130
    4Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    5Huntsville14632329:1726
    6New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    7Orlando City B16621723:2923
    8New York City II16523630:3322
    9Toronto FC II15603616:2321
    10Crown Legacy15334523:2719
    11Cincinnati 215260715:2318
    12Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    13Carolina Core15324620:2117
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2161110432:2235
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3Colorado Rapids 217803628:2627
    4North Texas16721628:3126
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Austin FC II15533417:1624
    7Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    8Real Monarchs13523325:2222
    9Houston Dynamo 216531722:2322
    10Town FC13522428:1821
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    13Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118
    14Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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