Columbus Crew 2 vs Chicago Fire II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4 penalties
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.94
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2514
Shots on target
135
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
89% (470/529)88% (381/434)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.94
xG on target (xGOT)
3.991.10
Total shots
2514
Shots on target
135
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
219
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3824
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
89% (470/529)88% (381/434)
Long passes
44% (12/27)63% (31/49)
Passes in final third
79% (110/140)79% (95/120)
Crosses
33% (4/12)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.76
Throw-ins
1010
Fouls
1514
Tackles
67% (14/21)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5136
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
311
xGOT faced
1.103.99
Goals prevented
-0.900.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Shokalook J. , Fleming R. (A),
  • 15', Elliot Q. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Shokalook J. , Diouf J. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 2, Rincon N. , Adams C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Camacho R. , Di Noto G. ,
  • 48', 2 - 2, Adams C. , Rincon N. (A),
  • 55', Diouf J. , Berg H. ,
  • 58', 2 - 3, Di Noto G. (Own goal),
  • 72', Forfor P. , Auvray K. ,
  • 72', Sy I. , Granda J. J. ,
  • 81', Ferdinand K. , Kone I. ,
  • 82', Reynolds J. 🟨,
  • 86', 3 - 3, Gbamble K. ,
  • 87', Poreba D. , Herrera E. ,
  • 87', Nigg D. , Kanyane G. ,
  • Penalties (2 - 3)
  • 1, Rincon N. (Pen),
  • 1, Borso D. (Pen),
  • 2, Gbamble K. (Pen),
  • 2, Reynolds J. (Pen),
  • 3, Granda J. J. (Pen),
  • 3, Shokalook J. (Pen),
  • 4, Rogers C. (Pen),
  • 4, Fleming R. (Pen),
  • 5, Di Noto G. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Columbus Crew 2
41.3%
Draw
21.9%
Chicago Fire II
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 22.8% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 22.1% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Columbus Crew 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Chicago Fire II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew 2 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.15)
    4.2
    (4.02)
    2.49
    (2.65)
    9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Chicago Fire II (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago Fire II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 1.
    • Columbus Crew 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Chicago Fire II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Columbus Crew 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 6:1
    01.06.2025 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 5:0
    27.10.2024 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 2:3
    29.09.2024 Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II 0:1
    21.06.2024 Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    Latest results of Columbus Crew 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    2Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    3Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    4New England Revolution II522016:410
    5Connecticut FC520038:116
    6Toronto FC II5102210:75
    7Cincinnati 2510043:83
    8New York City II401121:73


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2Chattanooga6301213:1110
    3Atlanta United 2630129:810
    4Chicago Fire II513014:49
    5Orlando City B5210211:138
    6Huntsville511128:146
    7Inter Miami II601236:144
    8Carolina Core500235:102


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County6320111:713
    2San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    3Real Monarchs5220112:810
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    5Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    6Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    7Tacoma Defiance601143:103


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3North Texas6211211:99
    4Austin FC II520217:78
    5Minnesota 2520036:86
    6Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    7Colorado Rapids 2500236:132


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    3Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    4Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    5Chattanooga6301213:1110
    6Atlanta United 2630129:810
    7New England Revolution II522016:410
    8Chicago Fire II513014:49
    9Orlando City B5210211:138
    10Connecticut FC520038:116
    11Huntsville511128:146
    12Toronto FC II5102210:75
    13Inter Miami II601236:144
    14Cincinnati 2510043:83
    15New York City II401121:73
    16Carolina Core500235:102


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3Ventura County6320111:713
    4San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    5Real Monarchs5220112:810
    6North Texas6211211:99
    7Austin FC II520217:78
    8Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    9Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    10Minnesota 2520036:86
    11Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    12Tacoma Defiance601143:103
    13Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    14Colorado Rapids 2500236:132

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)