Result
4:1
18/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 26
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 10', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 45+1', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 82', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+6', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fatima
39% | Draw
30.6% | SB Castelo Branco
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SB Castelo Branco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Fatima - SB Castelo Branco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.62) |
2.94 ↓
(3.04) |
2.97 ↑
(2.55) |
10.9%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3).
- Fatima is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, SB Castelo Branco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fatima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fatima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatima won against SB Castelo Branco?
Fatima has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against Fatima?
SB Castelo Branco has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatima - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
21.12.2025
SB Castelo Branco
-
Fatima
1:0
26.01.2025
Fatima
-
SB Castelo Branco
1:0
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
