Lille vs Dunkerque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
04/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport App
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaZhiBo8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes
norwayNorwayVG+
puerto-ricoPuerto-ricoFox Sports 2
russiaRussiaTV Start Triumph
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.210.69
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
175
Shots on Goal
81
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
51
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
83
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
07
Free Kicks
1016
Offsides
74
Fouls
1610
Throw-ins
1516
Touches in the Opposition Box
409
Passes
86% (500/584)82% (330/402)
Passes in the final third
69% (121/175)55% (33/60)
Crosses
17% (4/23)38% (5/13)
Tackles
83% (10/12)50% (6/12)
Clearances Total
1425
Interceptions
59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Diop M. , Bardeli E. ,
  • 59', Alexsandro 🟨,
  • 59', Sangante O. 🟨,
  • 60', Essimi M. , Tejan K. ,
  • 60', Bammou Y. , Courtet G. ,
  • 60', Al Saad M. , Yassine G. ,
  • 63', Sahraoui O. , Mbappe E. ,
  • 63', Cabella R. , Akpom Ch. ,
  • 65', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
  • 71', Mukau N. , Gomes A. ,
  • 76', Skytta N. , Senneville C. ,
  • 76', Senneville C. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Gomes A. , David J. (A),
  • 90+1', David J. , Bouaddi A. ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Tejan K. , Abner F. (A),
  • 90+7', Tejan K. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Mbappe E. (Pen),
  • 1, Courtet G. (Pen),
  • 2, Bakker M. (Pen),
  • 2, Bardeli E. (Pen),
  • 3, Gomes A. (Pen),
  • 3, Sangante O. (Pen),
  • 4, Alexsandro (Pen),
  • 4, Georgen A. (Pen),
  • 5, Haraldsson H. (Pen),
  • 5, Sekongo A. (Pen),
  • 6, Akpom Ch. (Pen),
  • 6, Senneville C. (Pen),
  • 7, Andre B. (Pen),
  • 7, Jaouen E. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Lille
74.9%
Draw
15.8%
Dunkerque
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 21.2% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 21.1% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lille's performance.
  • Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunkerque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lille that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunkerque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lille - Dunkerque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.25
    (1.47)
    5.99
    (4.37)
    10.22
    (5.8)
    6.3%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and Coupe De France with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Sports 2
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Dunkerque?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 31 - 93.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 85.7%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Lille is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Lille won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).
    Latest results of Lille
    01.02.2025 Lille - Saint-Étienne 4:1
    29.01.2025 Lille - Feyenoord 6:1
    25.01.2025 Strasbourg - Lille 2:1
    21.01.2025 Liverpool - Lille 2:1
    17.01.2025 Lille - Nice 2:1
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    31.01.2025 Dunkerque - Martigues 0:1
    27.01.2025 Annecy - Dunkerque 0:2
    22.01.2025 Haguenau - Dunkerque 1:3
    18.01.2025 Dunkerque - Lorient 0:1
    10.01.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 1:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    2CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    4ByeLille
    5LyonBye
    7Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    8FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    9SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    10SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    11SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    12TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    13Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    14St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    15Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    16Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    17EspoirEveil1 : 0
    18ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    19SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    20US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    21Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    22LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    23TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    24AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    25Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    26PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    27SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    28Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    29LensBye
    31APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    32CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    33YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    34BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    35Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    36BloisClermont2 : 1
    37MarseilleBye
    39Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    40Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    41CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    42PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    43WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    44BesanconThionville4 : 0
    45Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    46PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    48ByeRennes
    49PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    50OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    52ByeAngers
    53PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    54Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    56ByeToulouse
    57MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    58GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    59Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    60LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    61Le HavreBye
    63Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    64AubyAmiens0 : 3
    65BrestBye
    67AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    68SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    69StrasbourgBye
    71ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    72BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    73Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    74OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    75JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    76Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    77AuxerreBye
    80ByeMonaco
    81Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    82ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    83FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    84EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    85IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    86Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    87AvionTorcy0 : 2
    88OCPAMReims0 : 1
    89Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    90IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    91Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    92MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    93CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    94Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    95SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    96GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    97Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    98Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    99AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    100Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    101LorientBye
    103MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    104OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    105PSGBye
    107FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    108Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    109Paris FCBye
    111MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    112MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    113Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    114St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    116ByeNantes
    117NiceBye
    119Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    120QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    121Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    122ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    124ByeMetz
    125AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    126LavaurRodez1 : 3
    127MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    128AgdeMontpellier0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    2ByeLille
    3LyonBye
    4Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    5SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    6SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    7Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    8LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    9EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    10Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    11Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    12TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    13Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    14SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    15LensBye
    16APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    17YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    18RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    19MarseilleBye
    20SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    21CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    22FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    23Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    24ByeRennes
    25PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    26ByeAngers
    27Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    28ByeToulouse
    29MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    30ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    31Le HavreBye
    32Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4
    33BrestBye
    34AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    35StrasbourgBye
    36AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    37Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    38BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    39AuxerreBye
    40ByeMonaco
    41ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    42MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    43IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    44TorcyReims1 : 5
    45Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    46PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    47AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    48SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    49MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    50Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    51LorientBye
    52AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    53PSGBye
    54FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    55Paris FCBye
    56Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    57ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    58ByeNantes
    59NiceBye
    60Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    61BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    62ByeMetz
    63Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    64MontceauMontpellier0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1LusitanosLille0 : 1
    2LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    3IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    4GuingampLaval0 : 1
    5PontivyBastia0 : 1
    6Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    7SochauxBethune4 : 2
    8LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    9BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    10MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    11ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    12Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    13Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    14Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    15MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    16Le HavreAmiens0 : 2
    17BrestAvranches1 : 2
    18StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    19OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    20AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    21Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    22IC CroixReims0 : 4
    23Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    24GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    25Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    26LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    27PSGFontenay4 : 0
    28Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    29ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    30NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    31BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    32Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1LilleLyon1 : 2
    2IstresLaval0 : 2
    3BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    4SochauxLens0 : 3
    5BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    6ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    7AngersToulouse1 : 2
    8MontreuilAmiens2 : 4
    9AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    10OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    11Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    12Le MansNancy1 : 0
    13Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    14PSGParis FC0 : 1
    15NantesNice1 : 2
    16MetzMontpellier0 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1LyonLaval2 : 0
    2TroyesLens2 : 4
    3MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    4ToulouseAmiens1 : 0
    5StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    6ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    7LorientParis FC2 : 0
    8NiceMontpellier3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1LyonLens2 : 3
    2MarseilleToulouse2 : 3
    3StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    4LorientNice0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1LensToulouse4 : 1
    2StrasbourgNice0 : 2

    Final
    1LensNice