Dunkerque vs Lorient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
18/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 19
  • Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.241.59
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
713
Shots on Goal
27
Shots off Goal
12
Blocked Shots
44
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
37
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
Free Kicks
1912
Offsides
28
Fouls
1219
Yellow Cards
14
Throw-ins
1611
Touches in the Opposition Box
1718
Passes
82% (414/505)78% (316/406)
Passes in the final third
62% (63/101)71% (61/86)
Crosses
17% (3/18)8% (1/13)
Tackles
57% (4/7)44% (7/16)
Clearances Total
1321
Interceptions
716

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Talbi M. , Kroupi E. J. (A),
  • 23', Makengo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Raghouber U. 🟨,
  • 54', Mvuka Mugisha J. , Le Bris T. ,
  • 59', Rivera M. , Tejan K. ,
  • 67', Essimi M. , Courtet G. ,
  • 68', Abner F. , Youssouf B. ,
  • 69', Avom A. 🟨,
  • 75', Skytta N. , Sekongo A. ,
  • 76', Makengo J. , Genton E. ,
  • 77', Pagis P. , Soumano S. ,
  • 81', Genton E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Igor Silva 🟨,
  • 90+2', Kroupi E. J. , Kalulu G. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/f6ch9je6

Chances of winning


Dunkerque
32.8%
Draw
29.9%
Lorient
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.3% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 28.3% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorient might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dunkerque - Lorient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (3.29)
    3.17
    (3.48)
    2.51
    (2.17)
    6.4%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Lorient?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Lorient will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 24.9%69.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
    • Recent matches Dunkerque is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lorient is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Dunkerque could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Dunkerque have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Bamba M. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Lorient were as follows:
    29.10.2024 Lorient - Dunkerque 4:2
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    10.01.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 1:1
    04.01.2025 Guingamp - Dunkerque 1:1
    22.12.2024 Auxerre - Dunkerque 0:1
    16.12.2024 Dunkerque - Caen 3:1
    09.12.2024 Metz - Dunkerque 2:0
    Latest results of Lorient
    15.01.2025 Cannes - Lorient 2:1
    11.01.2025 Lorient - Metz 0:0
    04.01.2025 Laval - Lorient 2:0
    21.12.2024 Tours - Lorient Postponed
    14.12.2024 Lorient - Paris FC 2:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes32197656:322464
    2Le Mans321513447:301758
    3St Etienne32176953:361757
    4Red Star32159841:35654
    5Reims321313647:311652
    6Rodez321313641:37452
    7Montpellier321481039:281150
    8Annecy321471146:361049
    9Pau FC321291144:54-1045
    10Dunkerque3211101151:411043
    11Guingamp3210101242:47-540
    12Boulogne32991432:45-1336
    13Grenoble326151131:39-833
    14Clermont327101535:43-831
    15Nancy327101529:49-2031
    16Laval325141328:43-1529
    17Bastia324131522:37-1525
    18Amiens32662036:57-2124

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National