Result
1:2
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 3.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (252/367) | 68% (228/337) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 59% (95/161) | 60% (58/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/31) | 13% (2/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 80% (12/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Dummett P. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
- 18', Wiredu B. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Scott C. ⚽, Harris K. (A),
- 23', Patching W. 🟨,
- 44', Potter F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Potter F. ↓, Harratt K. ↑,
- 56', Bennett R. 🟨,
- 62', Patching W. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
- 62', Scott C. ↓, Fusire S. ↑,
- 64', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
- 65', Broom R. ↓, Hunt M. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Coughlan R. ⚽, Harratt K. (A),
- 73', Bennett R. ↓, Rooney S. ↑,
- 73', Coughlan R. ↓, Mayor D. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Lavelle S. ⚽,
- 87', Williams J. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
- 88', Hugill J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Breeze G. 🟨,
- 90+2', Rooney S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fleetwood Town
55.1% | Draw
26.2% | Carlisle United
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fleetwood Town's performance.Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fleetwood Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.93) |
3.59 ↑
(3.55) |
5.1 ↑
(3.72) |
6.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 47.7% – 95.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 2.
- Fleetwood is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Carlisle is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Fleetwood is a favorite.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.9:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Carlisle United?
Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Fleetwood Town?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United were as follows:
14.09.2024
Carlisle United
-
Fleetwood Town
2:3
26.12.2023
Fleetwood Town
-
Carlisle United
1:1
05.08.2023
Carlisle United
-
Fleetwood Town
1:1
20.09.2022
Carlisle United
-
Fleetwood Town
2:1
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
