Result
3:2
01/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 24
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (158/270) | 69% (256/372) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 59% (55/94) | 52% (65/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 25% (6/24) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 44% (7/16) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Lavelle S. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Ellis J. ⚽, Biggins H. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Long Ch. ⚽, Holicek M. (A),
- 35', Williams Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Williams Z. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
- 54', Neal H. 🟨,
- 58', Harper C. ↓, Harris K. ↑,
- 58', Ellis J. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 67', Tracey S. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
- 71', Cooney R. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
- 72', Long Ch. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Harris K. ⚽, Armstrong L. (A),
- 82', Sadi D. ↓, Burey T. ↑,
- 82', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Charters T. ↑,
- 83', Tabiner J. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
- 84', Breeze G. 🟨,
- 87', Knight-Lebel J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Conway M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Bogle O. ⚽,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+9', 3 - 2, Lankester J. ⚽, Conway M. (A),
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
50.6% | Draw
27.2% | Carlisle United
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(2.02) |
3.43 ↑
(3.4) |
4.28 ↑
(3.54) |
6.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Carlisle will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 46.5% – 86.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Recently Crewe have a series of guest games.
- Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
- In this match Crewe is a favorite.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Crewe won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:20 (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Carlisle United?
Crewe Alexandra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Crewe Alexandra?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United were as follows:
30.11.2024
Carlisle United
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:1
29.12.2022
Crewe Alexandra
-
Carlisle United
0:3
01.10.2022
Carlisle United
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:0
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
