Crewe Alexandra vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Alexandra Stadium (Crewe).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 24
Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.18	0.62
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Goal Attempts
18	13
Shots on Goal
9	6
Shots off Goal
4	3
Blocked Shots
5	4
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
7	8
Shots inside the Box
12	7
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
2	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	6
Free Kicks
11	12
Offsides
2	1
Fouls
12	11
Yellow Cards
3	4
Throw-ins
20	15
Touches in the Opposition Box
26	18
Passes
59% (158/270)	69% (256/372)
Passes in the final third
59% (55/94)	52% (65/124)
Crosses
35% (7/20)	25% (6/24)
Tackles
33% (4/12)	44% (7/16)
Clearances Total
39	39
Interceptions
9	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Lavelle S. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Ellis J. ⚽, Biggins H. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Long Ch. ⚽, Holicek M. (A),
35', Williams Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Williams Z. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
54', Neal H. 🟨,
58', Harper C. ↓, Harris K. ↑,
58', Ellis J. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
67', Tracey S. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
71', Cooney R. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
72', Long Ch. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Harris K. ⚽, Armstrong L. (A),
82', Sadi D. ↓, Burey T. ↑,
82', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Charters T. ↑,
83', Tabiner J. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
84', Breeze G. 🟨,
87', Knight-Lebel J. 🟨,
90+2', Conway M. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Bogle O. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
90+9', 3 - 2, Lankester J. ⚽, Conway M. (A),

Chances of winning

Crewe Alexandra
50.6%

Draw
27.2%

Carlisle United
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

27.4%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

25%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.02)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	4.28 ↑ (3.54)	6.3% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United?

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Carlisle will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 46.5% – 86.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Recently Crewe have a series of guest games.
Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
In this match Crewe is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Crewe won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:20 (average 1.1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.3:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Carlisle United?

Crewe Alexandra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Crewe Alexandra?

Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United were as follows:

30.11.2024 Carlisle United - Crewe Alexandra 1:1

29.12.2022 Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United 0:3

01.10.2022 Carlisle United - Crewe Alexandra 0:0

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

29.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra 1:1 ✺

26.12.2024 Cheltenham Town - Crewe Alexandra 2:1 ✺

20.12.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Colchester United 0:0 ✺

14.12.2024 Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra 0:2 ✺

10.12.2024 Wrexham - Crewe Alexandra 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Carlisle United

29.12.2024 Carlisle United - Accrington Stanley 2:1 ✺

26.12.2024 Carlisle United - Morecambe 0:1 ✺

21.12.2024 Port Vale - Carlisle United 0:0 ✺

14.12.2024 Carlisle United - Chesterfield 0:2 ✺

30.11.2024 Carlisle United - Crewe Alexandra 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley ✔	46	24	15	7	71:46	25	87
2	MK Dons ✔	46	24	14	8	86:45	41	86
3	Cambridge Utd	46	22	16	8	66:33	33	82
4	Salford	46	25	6	15	61:51	10	81
5	Notts Co	46	24	8	14	74:52	22	80
6	Chesterfield	46	21	16	9	71:56	15	79
7	Grimsby	46	22	12	12	74:50	24	78
8	Barnet	46	21	13	12	70:53	17	76
9	Swindon	46	22	9	15	70:59	11	75
10	Oldham	46	18	14	14	60:44	16	68
11	Crewe	46	19	10	17	64:58	6	67
12	Colchester	46	18	12	16	62:49	13	66
13	Walsall	46	18	11	17	56:56	0	65
14	Bristol Rovers	46	19	5	22	56:65	-9	62
15	Fleetwood	46	15	16	15	57:58	-1	61
16	Accrington	46	14	11	21	47:58	-11	53
17	Gillingham	46	13	14	19	53:72	-19	53
18	Cheltenham	46	14	10	22	53:79	-26	52
19	Shrewsbury	46	13	10	23	42:69	-27	49
20	Newport	46	12	7	27	48:77	-29	43
21	Tranmere	46	10	11	25	54:79	-25	41
22	Crawley	46	8	16	22	44:68	-24	40
23	Harrogate	46	10	9	27	39:68	-29	39
24	Barrow	46	9	9	28	45:78	-33	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One