Result
21/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion 29.1% | Draw 29.4% | Olimpia Asuncion 41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.2 ↑ (2.52) |
3.13 ↓ (3.51) |
2.24 ↓ (2.57) |
7.8% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 4.
- Guaraní is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Olimpia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
25.01.2026
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:1
26.10.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:3
10.08.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Olimpia Asuncion
4:0
06.04.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Olimpia Asuncion
2:1
26.01.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:1
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 27 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarani | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Ameliano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )