Eibar C vs Derio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Barron J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Eibar C
22.2%
Draw
28.2%
Derio
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 27.8% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 27% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eibar C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eibar C's form might have worsened.
  • Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar C than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar C, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Eibar C - Derio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.37
    (3.07)
    3.44
    (3.25)
    1.96
    (2.12)
    3.1%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
    • Eibar C is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Derio is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Derio could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eibar C won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Eibar C won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Eibar C - Derio were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Eibar C - Derio 0:0
    Latest results of Eibar C
    15.11.2025 Touring KE - Eibar C 1:0
    08.11.2025 Eibar C - Alavés C 2:5
    26.10.2025 Eibar C - Leioa 0:1
    18.10.2025 Zarautz KE - Eibar C 1:4
    Latest results of Derio
    15.11.2025 Derio - Añorga 4:0
    08.11.2025 Durango - Derio 1:0
    31.10.2025 Derio - Aretxabaleta 1:0
    25.10.2025 Zamudio - Derio 2:3
    18.10.2025 Derio - Santurtzi 3:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete24193252:173560
    2Leioa24143735:231245
    3Lagun Onak24132936:221441
    4Touring KE24118531:201141
    5Aurrera de Vitoria24124831:30140
    6San Ignacio24115824:18638
    7Derio24114937:29837
    8Alaves C24106838:271136
    9UD Aretxabaleta24105941:40135
    10Durango2489724:21333
    11Real Sociedad C241031126:28-233
    12Santurtzi2469924:32-827
    13Eibar C24751228:38-1026
    14Zamudio24741327:39-1225
    15Pasaia24661216:30-1424
    16Anorga24731423:43-2024
    17Zarautz KE24631520:43-2321
    18SD Deusto24461417:30-1318

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation