Result
3:0
28/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 88', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Añorga
26.1% | Draw
27.8% | Derio
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Añorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Añorga's form might have worsened.Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derio's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Añorga than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Añorga - Derio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↑
(2.83) |
3.3 ↓
(3.31) |
1.98 ↓
(2.24) |
9.2%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- Añorga has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Derio is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Añorga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Añorga won against Derio?
Añorga has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Añorga?
Derio has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Añorga - Derio were as follows:
15.11.2025
Derio
-
Añorga
4:0
20.01.2024
Derio
-
Añorga
2:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 62:23 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Touring KE | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:27 | 15 | 56 |
| 3 | Leioa | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 48:28 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | San Ignacio | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 33:23 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Derio | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:34 | 17 | 47 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 47 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad C | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:35 | -1 | 43 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 48:50 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Anorga | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 13 | Zamudio | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 39:50 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 23:40 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 26:56 | -30 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
