Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta
Result
2:3
14/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Romero B. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.742.78
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1523
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
77% (321/415)75% (262/348)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.742.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.702.90
Total shots
1523
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
212
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1113
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2426
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
812
Passes
77% (321/415)75% (262/348)
Long passes
36% (23/64)49% (22/45)
Passes in final third
56% (58/104)65% (57/88)
Crosses
22% (4/18)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.570.87
Throw-ins
2120
Fouls
149
Tackles
60% (3/5)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3748
Clearances
2233
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
2.901.70
Goals prevented
-0.10-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Baez W. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Centurion M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Nunez J. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Cano Esteche A. B. , Rayer T. (A),
  • 57', Guggiari G. , Ferreira B. ,
  • 57', Piris I. , Echeguren Zarza F. A. ,
  • 66', Silva A. 🟨,
  • 66', Cano Esteche A. B. , Alvarez A. ,
  • 66', Camacho N. , Romero F. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Ferreira B. , Vargas S. (A),
  • 72', Rayer T. 🟨,
  • 72', Espinola J. , Lopez M. ,
  • 73', Rayer T. , Roman J. ,
  • 73', Zarza P. , Baez Mendoza R. ,
  • 73', Silva A. (Pen),
  • 73', 2 - 2, Silva A. ,
  • 80', Roman J. 🟨,
  • 82', Mendoza S. 🟨,
  • 83', Baez W. , Schupp M. ,
  • 83', Cardozo L. , Pereira M. ,
  • 85', Canete A. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Silva A. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Romero L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sportivo Trinidense
46.2%
Draw
27.7%
Deportivo Recoleta
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 26.8% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 26.3% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.95)
    3.32
    (3.46)
    3.51
    (3.63)
    8.2%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Recoleta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 10).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sportivo Trinidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sportivo Trinidense might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sportivo Trinidense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
    04.07.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Trinidense 2:4
    26.05.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Trinidense 1:2
    21.03.2025 Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta 1:1
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani1281329:121725
    2Nacional Asuncion1264216:9722
    3Cerro Porteno1163220:15521
    4Sportivo Trinidense1262418:16220
    5Libertad Asuncion1245315:10517
    6Sp. Luqueno1252516:16017
    72 de Mayo1244414:17-316
    8Recoleta1243517:18-115
    9General Caballero JLM124359:16-715
    10Olimpia Asuncion1233616:23-712
    11Ameliano1232713:21-811
    12Atl. Tembetary1112812:22-105

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