Result
03/05/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Deportivo Recoleta
22% | Draw
26.6% | Cerro Porteño
51.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.2 ↓
(4.21) |
3.46 ↓
(3.5) |
1.8 ↓
(1.83) |
8.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.8:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Cerro Porteño?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Cerro Porteño has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
01.03.2026
Cerro Porteño
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:0
03.10.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:0
26.07.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
28.04.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
15.02.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 42 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 34 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
| 5 | Libertad Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30:22 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Guarani | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 16:34 | -18 | 18 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12:41 | -29 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
