Result
2:1
24/04/2026 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Gimenez A. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (445/517) | 73% (209/286) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (445/517) | 73% (209/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (38/56) | 37% (21/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (111/151) | 54% (31/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (10/30) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Vargas S. 🟨,
- 9', 0 - 1, Wlk A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 25', Ramirez Antunez R. C. 🟨,
- 28', Franco A. 🟨,
- 43', Franco A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Santacruz J. ↓, Colman Escobar D. J. ↑,
- 46', Cabrera M. ↓, Gaona Lugo O. ↑,
- 46', Wlk A. ↓, Dominguez R. ↑,
- 46', Falcon J. ↓, Baez W. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Santa C. R. ⚽, Jara F. (A),
- 50', Ortiz R. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
- 64', Noguera J. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
- 68', Ramirez Antunez R. C. ↓, Arrua C. ↑,
- 76', Benitez H. A. ↓, Gonzales L. ↑,
- 77', Santa C. R. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Bailone I. ⚽,
- 89', Echeguren Zarza F. A. 🟨,
- 90', Rios P. ↓, Vidal T. ↑,
- 90', Espinola J. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
- 90+3', Marotta N. 🟨,
- 90+3', Arrua C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
52.9% | Draw
27.5% | Deportivo Recoleta
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.72) |
3.37 ↓
(3.71) |
4.72 ↑
(4.56) |
8.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Recoleta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nacional is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Nacional Asuncion has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Nacional Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
05.03.2026
Nacional Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:2
26.02.2026
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:2
27.11.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:0
06.09.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:0
21.04.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:1
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 34 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Guarani | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14:33 | -19 | 15 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12:36 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
