Result
1:0
29/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1 |
Brazil | Paramount+ |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol, fubo Sports Network |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Colombia | DSports |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+ |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
South-america | DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America |
Uruguay | DSports 310 |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | DSports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (272/339) | 77% (265/345) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (272/339) | 77% (265/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (38/70) | 41% (26/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (78/117) | 60% (40/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (9/31) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Bandiera N. ⚽, Barreto G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Igor Gomes ↓, Minda A. ↑,
- 46', Alexsander ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 49', Preciado A. 🟨,
- 56', Gustavo Scarpa 🟨,
- 58', Preciado A. 🟨,
- 63', Becerra K. ↓, Yovera A. ↑,
- 70', Martinich M. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
- 79', Dudu ↓, Mateus Iseppe ↑,
- 79', Reinier ↓, Caua ↑,
- 79', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Luis Gustavo ↑,
- 88', Hohberg A. ↓, Romagnoli J. ↑,
- 88', Bandiera N. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
- 88', Garces C. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cienciano 45.4% | Draw 29.5% | Atlético Mineiro 25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cienciano's performance.Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cienciano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cienciano - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↓ (2.66) |
3.19 ↓ (3.2) |
3.76 ↑ (2.7) |
6.9% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cienciano - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
Cienciano will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Cienciano is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Cienciano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Atlético Mineiro?
Cienciano has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Cienciano?
Atlético Mineiro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
29.05.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Cienciano
1:1
01.04.2025
Cienciano
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Macara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Boston River | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Caracas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Palestino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vasco | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)