Result
3:0
27/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 |
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Brazil | Caze TV, Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (529/582) | 80% (316/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (529/582) | 80% (316/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (18/31) | 57% (39/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (76/95) | 66% (80/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | -0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Rayan ⚽, Coutinho (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Paulo Henrique ⚽,
- 37', Jair 🟨,
- 44', 3 - 0, Vegetti P. ⚽, Tche Tche (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Martinez T. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 62', Rodriguez G. ↓, Vivanco P. ↑,
- 64', Coutinho ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 74', Tche Tche ↓, Adson ↑,
- 74', Moreira N. ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
- 75', Rayan ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
- 79', Lazo M. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
- 79', Llontop M. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
- 80', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
- 83', Vivanco P. 🟨,
- 84', Paulo Henrique ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 90', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
67% | Draw
21.6% | FBC Melgar
11.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Vasco da Gama - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.47) |
4.34 ↑
(4.19) |
8.3 ↑
(6.7) |
6.5%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Melgar will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Melgar (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Melgar (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vasco is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vasco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against FBC Melgar?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Vasco da Gama?
FBC Melgar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - FBC Melgar were as follows:
02.04.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Vasco da Gama
3:3
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | O'Higgins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Boston River | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palestino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gremio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Carabobo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
