Indy Eleven vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
05/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.31
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
75% (209/279)84% (378/449)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.280.20
Total shots
106
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
75% (209/279)84% (378/449)
Long passes
52% (27/52)48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
71% (107/151)74% (92/125)
Crosses
32% (6/19)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.40
Throw-ins
2712
Fouls
1314
Tackles
75% (9/12)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4841
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.202.28
Goals prevented
0.20-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Quinn A. , Blake J. (A),
  • 45+6', Campuzano N. , Gomez S. ,
  • 45+11', 2 - 0, Blake J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Fehr M. , Gnaulati X. ,
  • 56', Guediri S. , Robinson G. ,
  • 60', Muir J. 🟨,
  • 65', Paul I. , Malango M. ,
  • 65', Sojberg A. , Larsson A. ,
  • 69', Foster M. , Bryneus O. ,
  • 69', Rendon B. , Hogan P. ,
  • 80', Blake J. , Williams R. ,
  • 80', Amoh E. , Kizza E. ,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Williams R. , Bryneus O. (A),
  • 87', O'Brien J. , Collier E. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Indy Eleven
55.7%
Draw
24.3%
Monterey Bay
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 24.5% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 24.2% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.7)
    3.78
    (3.8)
    4.59
    (4.5)
    8.9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Indy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Monterey Bay (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Indy (votes: 1 - 50%). Monterey Bay (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Monterey Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Indy is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Indy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Indy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay were as follows:
    04.05.2024 Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven 0:1
    22.04.2023 Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay 2:3
    17.09.2022 Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven 5:0
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City330010:469
    2Hartford Athletic32105:147
    3Tampa Bay22004:046
    4Charleston22005:326
    5Detroit21014:223
    6Indy Eleven21012:203
    7Pittsburgh31024:7-33
    8Brooklyn31022:5-33
    9Loudoun20112:3-11
    10Rhode Island20113:5-21
    11Birmingham30122:4-21
    12Miami FC20111:4-31
    13Sporting Jax20111:4-31


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oakland Roots32105:327
    2San Antonio32103:127
    3Sacramento Republic31203:125
    4Orange County SC31203:215
    5El Paso21105:234
    6Colorado Springs31115:504
    7FC Tulsa31113:4-14
    8Phoenix Rising30214:5-12
    9Lexington20111:2-11
    10Las Vegas Lights30125:7-21
    11Monterey Bay30121:5-41
    12New Mexico20021:3-20

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)