Result
1:0
02/05/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (400/479) | 67% (140/210) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (400/479) | 67% (140/210) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (41/69) | 36% (21/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (67/103) | 56% (52/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Acoff D. 🟨,
- 33', Craig P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hilton L. ↓, Pedro Becker ↑,
- 46', Acoff D. ↓, Ostrem C. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Mattheus ⚽, Cicerone R. (A),
- 60', Henderlong K. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
- 62', Mesanvi L. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
- 73', Mattheus ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 79', Okello N. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
- 83', Cicerone R. ↓, Micaletto M. ↑,
- 84', Neidlinger L. ↓, Sing D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Rowdies
58.8% | Draw
22.5% | Indy Eleven
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.59) |
4.1 ↑
(4.03) |
4.91 ↑
(4.72) |
8.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.
- Tampa Bay is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Indy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Tampa Bay is the team to beat.
- We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Indy Eleven?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Indy Eleven has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven were as follows:
02.08.2025
Indy Eleven
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1:3
25.06.2025
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Indy Eleven
3:1
26.10.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Indy Eleven
3:0
20.07.2024
Indy Eleven
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:2
22.07.2023
Indy Eleven
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:0
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
Latest results of Indy Eleven
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Detroit | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Charleston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Brooklyn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Antonio | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | El Paso | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Tulsa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Lexington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
