Juventud de Las Piedras vs River Plate Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Feres J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
117
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Pollero R. ,
  • 39', Rossi I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Perez F. , Rodriguez T. ,
  • 46', Guerrero S. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Vera A. ,
  • 56', Jourdan E. , Triver F. ,
  • 62', Peralta R. , Nongoy P. ,
  • 62', Escobar M. , Moreira M. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Barrandeguy F. ,
  • 70', Vera A. 🟨,
  • 78', Pollero R. , Lopez I. ,
  • 78', De Leon F. , Correa T. ,
  • 81', Martinez G. , Dominguez F. ,
  • 84', Lopez I. 🟨,
  • 87', Urretaviscaya J. 🟨,
  • 87', Guerrero S. , Boselli J. ,
  • 90+4', Moreira M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Juventud de Las Piedras
54.5%
Draw
26.7%
River Plate Montevideo
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 27.6% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 21% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventud de Las Piedras that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Juventud de Las Piedras - River Plate Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.71)
    3.47
    (3.33)
    4.99
    (4.97)
    7%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Juventud de Las Piedras - River Plate Montevideo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Juventud de Las Piedras will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juventud de Las Piedras will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 2.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Juventud is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Juventud won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juventud de Las Piedras - River Plate Montevideo were as follows:
    13.04.2025 River Plate Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras 1:0
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1494123:121131
    2Maldonado1482422:15726
    3Albion1474325:16925
    4Penarol1473420:14624
    5Defensor Sp1456312:9321
    6Central Esp1463521:22-121
    7Montevideo City1455420:15520
    8Liverpool M1455420:17320
    9Nacional1461722:21119
    10Danubio1446417:20-318
    11Cerro Largo1452714:16-217
    12Boston River1452713:18-517
    13Wanderers1452715:21-617
    14Juventud1433815:21-612
    15Progreso1424811:21-1010
    16CA Cerro142488:20-1210

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