Result
28/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball, ZhiBo8 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (427/517) | 61% (135/222) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (427/517) | 61% (135/222) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (14/46) | 22% (14/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (110/165) | 45% (35/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (13/38) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | 1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Koike R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, Esaka A. ⚽, Lucao (A),
- 53', Yanagi T. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 2, Kamiya Yuta ⚽, Esaka A. (A),
- 64', Kimura T. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 64', Yanagi T. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
- 68', Ogawa R. ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
- 68', Nono K. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
- 77', Cavric A. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 77', Misao K. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
- 78', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
- 78', Lucao ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
- 81', Funabashi Y. ↓, Talles Brener ↑,
- 82', Shibasaki G. 🟨,
- 87', Esaka A. ↓, Sueyoshi R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashima Antlers
51.4% | Draw
27.4% | Fagiano Okayama
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Kashima Antlers - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(1.94) |
3.42 ↑
(3.4) |
4.47 ↑
(4.24) |
5.3%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
Kashima Antlers will win
(31 of 35 users predict this - 88.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.03% – 99.11%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Kashima is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Inactive)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Kashima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Fagiano Okayama?
Kashima Antlers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Kashima Antlers?
Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
20.04.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Kashima Antlers
1:2
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 | Verdy | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 16:29 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
