Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 12
- Referee: Cavallero L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 1 - 0, Bergara M. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Rojas F. ⚽,
- 36', Ortiz D. 🟨,
- 36', Guanini M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ortiz D. ↓, Susvielles J. ↑,
- 46', Ascacibar J. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 67', Busse W. ↓, Galetto J. ↑,
- 67', Contin N. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Bergara M. ⚽,
- 70', Bergara M. 🟨,
- 76', Rinaldi N. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 76', Tallura A. ↓, Sivetti F. ↑,
- 76', Chaves I. F. ↓, Buter L. ↑,
- 77', Bergara M. ↓, Miori M. ↑,
- 79', Birge M. 🟨,
- 79', Blasi B. 🟨,
- 83', Aleo A. ↓, James J. ↑,
- 87', Becker D. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alvarado
47.7% | Draw
32.9% | Gimnasia y Tiro
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Tiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvarado that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Tiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.12) |
2.79 ↓
(3.1) |
4.83 ↑
(3.7) |
7.6%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 10).
- Recent matches Alvarado is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Gimnasia y Tiro is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Alvarado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Alvarado will have a small advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Gimnasia y Tiro?
Alvarado has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia y Tiro won against Alvarado?
Gimnasia y Tiro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro were as follows:
Latest results of Alvarado
Latest results of Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 43 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 43 |
| 5 | Patronato | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 41 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | All Boys | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Colegiales | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 17:22 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Almagro | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ferro | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17:29 | -12 | 30 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 27 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 30:19 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 27:17 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Temperley | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | San Telmo | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 19:22 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 21:34 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 25 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 13:34 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
