Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats
Result
68:111
17/08/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Sports 503
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 3

Match Stats

Goals
1016
Behinds
815
Kicks
192225
Handballs
155117
Disposals
347342
Frees For
1214
Frees Against
1412
Clearances Completed
4333
Marks
77114
Tackles
6263
Hitouts
4347

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (27 - 27)
  • 00:20, Stengle T. (Behind),
  • 01:17, McLean H. (G),
  • 04:36, Heeney I. (G),
  • 06:16, McLean H. (Behind),
  • 07:43, Campbell B. (G),
  • 10:45, Ladhams P. (Behind),
  • 14:29, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 17:36, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 19:43, Neale S. (G),
  • 22:01, Humphries L. (Behind),
  • 22:32, Martin J. (G),
  • 25:00, Miers G. (G),
  • 27:31, Neale S. (G),
  • 29:53, Ladhams P. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (19 - 28)
  • 02:05, Buller J. (G),
  • 06:29, McCartin T. (G),
  • 07:35, Holmes M. (Behind),
  • 08:58, Neale S. (G),
  • 12:08, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:19, Neale S. (G),
  • 15:48, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 18:19, Dempsey O. (Behind),
  • 22:30, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:21, Martin J. (G),
  • 29:17, Stengle T. (G),
  • 31:10, McLean H. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (8 - 25)
  • 01:07, Stengle T. (G),
  • 05:01, Buller J. (Behind),
  • 06:05, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 10:40, Ladhams P. (G),
  • 12:34, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 16:37, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 19:50, Blicavs M. (Behind),
  • 26:22, Papley T. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (14 - 31)
  • 00:39, Stengle T. (G),
  • 02:47, Lloyd J. (Behind),
  • 03:44, Blicavs M. (Behind),
  • 04:41, Papley T. (G),
  • 06:35, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 08:25, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
  • 15:23, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 16:26, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 17:34, Miers G. (G),
  • 20:53, Martin J. (Behind),
  • 22:16, Stengle T. (Behind),
  • 23:33, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:06, Neale S. (Behind),
  • 26:26, Papley T. (G),
  • 30:30, Cameron J. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Sydney Swans
30.1%
Geelong Cats
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 65.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (3.37)

    1.34
    (1.33)
    6.7%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-19)
  • What is the prediction for Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Geelong (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 77:96.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 2.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Geelong is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Sydney will win today's game, with odds of 3.21.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1626:1670. (average 81.3:83.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 936:787. (average 93.6:78.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats were as follows:
    09.06.2024 Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats 112:82
    30.06.2023 Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats 54:54
    22.04.2023 Geelong Cats - Sydney Swans 130:37
    24.09.2022 Geelong Cats - Sydney Swans 133:52
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Adelaide Crows (1)Collingwood Magpies (4)55 : 79
    3Brisbane LionsBye
    4Fremantle Dockers (6)Gold Coast Suns (7)79 : 80
    5Geelong Cats (2)Brisbane Lions (3)112 : 74
    7Adelaide CrowsBye
    8GWS Giants (5)Hawthorn Hawks (8)88 : 107

    Quarter-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Bye
    2Brisbane Lions (3)Gold Coast Suns (7)100 : 47
    3Geelong Cats (2)Bye
    4Adelaide Crows (1)Hawthorn Hawks (8)67 : 101

    Semi-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Brisbane Lions (3)
    2Geelong Cats (2)Hawthorn Hawks (8)115 : 85

    Final
    1TBD #1Geelong Cats (2)