Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha vs Guizhou Guiyang Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
06/07/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 18

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.10
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
86% (325/380)87% (400/458)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.10
xG on target (xGOT)
2.061.12
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
178
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
86% (325/380)87% (400/458)
Long passes
23% (10/43)36% (10/28)
Passes in final third
55% (37/67)68% (91/133)
Crosses
62% (8/13)5% (1/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.30
Throw-ins
1018
Fouls
1316
Tackles
63% (12/19)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4145
Clearances
2714
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.122.06
Goals prevented
-0.88-1.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Cai M. , Diao Jiahao (A),
  • 9', Sun Xinkai 🟨,
  • 18', 2 - 0, Fan Ruiwei , Cai M. (A),
  • 18', Liang Huan , Chen Chenzhenyang ,
  • 31', 2 - 1, Kong Yinquan , Sun Xinkai (A),
  • 45+2', 3 - 1, Liu Jiqiang , Cai M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Wu Junjie , Zheng Shengxiong ,
  • 46', Wang H. , Sun Enming ,
  • 46', Huang Peizhao , Chen Yuhao ,
  • 46', Shi Yiyi 🟨,
  • 54', 4 - 1, Fan Ruiwei , Li Jiaheng (A),
  • 58', Sun Enming 🟨,
  • 70', Liu Jiqiang , Liang Junheng ,
  • 70', Huang Yiwen , Li Zhuoxuan ,
  • 75', Cai M. , Yang Youxian ,
  • 77', Shi Yiyi , Li Xi'nan ,
  • 86', Diao Jiahao 🟨,
  • 89', 4 - 2, Kong Yinquan (Pen),
  • 90', Diao Jiahao , Li Bin ,
  • 90+5', Lu Wentao 🟨,
  • 90+9', Zheng Shengxiong 🟨,
  • 90+9', 🟥,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
30.9%
Draw
28.7%
Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 31.3% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 32.3% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha's form might have worsened.
  • Guizhou Guiyang Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guizhou Guiyang Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.27)
    3.14
    (2.9)
    2.23
    (3.17)
    10.9%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Guizhou Guiyang (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guizhou Guiyang (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ))
    • Recent performances by Guangzhou Dandelion have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guizhou Zhucheng is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangzhou Dandelion won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 2:1
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B431010:2810
    2Taian Tiankuang33007:349
    3Dalian Kewei42202:028
    4Shandong Taishan B32016:426
    5Dalian Yingbo B31204:315
    6Lanzhou Longyuan31202:115
    7Nantong Haimen41125:324
    8Qingdao Red Lions30213:4-12
    9Changchun Xidu30211:5-42
    10Shanxi Chongde Ronghai30121:3-21
    11Shanghai Second30125:11-61
    12Beijing Technology40042:9-70


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangzhou Dandelion43016:339
    2Hubei Istar42116:517
    3Chengdu Rongcheng B32014:316
    4Guizhou Guiyang42023:5-26
    5Xiamen Feilu31207:525
    6Jiangxi Lushan41216:515
    7Hangzhou Linping30303:303
    8Wuhan Three Towns B30303:303
    9Ganzhou Ruishi40313:4-13
    10Wenzhou Professional30212:3-12
    11Guangdong Mingtu40224:6-22
    12Shenzhen30212:4-22

          Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
          League Two (Relegation Group: )