Juan Pablo II College vs Universitario de Deportes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Juan Pablo II College - Universitario de Deportes
Result
2:0
18/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
peruPeruL1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.52
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
517
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
61% (185/304)76% (336/443)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.800.02
Total shots
517
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
110
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1028
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
138
Passes
61% (185/304)76% (336/443)
Long passes
29% (20/70)58% (46/79)
Passes in final third
42% (31/73)63% (93/147)
Crosses
67% (2/3)33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.110.88
Throw-ins
2636
Fouls
813
Tackles
74% (14/19)88% (14/16)
Duels won
5363
Clearances
4013
Interceptions
1517
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.021.80
Goals prevented
0.02-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Valera A. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Tizon C. , Duran J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Inga C. , Concha J. ,
  • 60', Perez M. , Velez J. ,
  • 60', Velez J. 🟨,
  • 63', Aliaga R. , Flores C. ,
  • 73', Corzo A. 🟨,
  • 74', Corzo A. , Costa G. ,
  • 74', 2 - 0, Tizon C. (Pen),
  • 82', Villar E. , Roca F. ,
  • 82', Rodriguez N. , Fernandez R. ,
  • 82', Murrugarra J. , Diego Churin ,
  • 88', Fernandez R. 🟨,
  • 90', Tizon C. , Santillan I. ,
  • 90+6', Flores C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Juan Pablo II College
12.4%
Draw
21.7%
Universitario de Deportes
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.8% 23.6% 56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2% 22.9% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Pablo II College's form might have worsened.
  • Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universitario de Deportes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo II College, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitario de Deportes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Juan Pablo II College - Universitario de Deportes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.53
    (4.7)
    4.31
    (3.95)
    1.42
    (1.65)
    7%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College - Universitario de Deportes?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Juan Pablo II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Juan Pablo II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Uni de Deportes has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Uni de Deportes is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H. (Muscle Injury) Dulanto G. (Red Card) Rivera J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Fernandez R. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Juan Pablo II College
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11003:033
    2Deportivo Garcilaso11003:033
    3Juan Pablo II11003:033
    4U. de Deportes11003:123
    5Cusco11002:023
    6FBC Melgar11002:113
    7Grau11002:113
    8AD Tarma11001:013
    9Alianza Atl10100:001
    10Sport Huancayo10100:001
    11Binacional00000:000
    12Ayacucho10011:2-10
    13Cajamarca10011:2-10
    14Cienciano10010:1-10
    15Comerciantes Unidos10011:3-20
    16Alianza Lima10010:2-20
    17Sport Boys10010:3-30
    18Alianza Huanuco10010:3-30
    19Los Chankas10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )