Result
1:0
19/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 27
- Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (354/419) | 77% (255/330) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (354/419) | 77% (255/330) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (46/72) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (122/158) | 54% (34/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (11/40) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Nathan Fogaca 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Marcelo Ajul ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 58', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Robson ↑,
- 58', David Braga ↓, Da Cruz A. ↑,
- 58', Neto Costa ↓, Tavares R. ↑,
- 59', Romulo ↓, Patrick Brey ↑,
- 62', Sidimar ↓, Alex Nascimento ↑,
- 68', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Airton ↑,
- 69', Bruno Jose ↓, Tavinho ↑,
- 75', Adriel 🟨,
- 75', Max ↓, Luiz Filipe ↑,
- 78', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
- 80', Jhonatan Silva 🟨,
- 88', Mayk ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 89', Da Cruz A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Ruiz O. ⚽,
- 90+5', Tavinho 🟨,
- 90+9', Alex Nascimento 🟥,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
52.2% | Draw
28.5% | Athletic Club
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.79) |
3.28 ↓
(3.3) |
4.86 ↑
(4.73) |
6.3%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Athletic will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 14).
- Novorizontino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Athletic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Novorizontino is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Dantas
(Red Card)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda
(Inactive)
Lincoln
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Airton
(Inactive)
Bruno Jose
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Chico Geraldes
(Injury)
Joao Miguel
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Athletic Club?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Athletic Club has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club were as follows:
17.05.2025
Athletic Club
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:2
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 37:22 | 15 | 64 |
| 2 | Athletico-PR | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 50:42 | 8 | 59 |
| 3 | Remo | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 47:35 | 12 | 59 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 50:33 | 17 | 58 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 45:32 | 13 | 58 |
| 6 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 58 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 36 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 40:31 | 9 | 57 |
| 8 | CRB | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 43:37 | 6 | 53 |
| 9 | Avai | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 39:37 | 2 | 51 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:40 | -2 | 46 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | America MG | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 41:52 | -11 | 40 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 41:48 | -7 | 40 |
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 31:50 | -19 | 38 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 35:50 | -15 | 35 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 23:40 | -17 | 34 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA ✔ | 36 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 33:48 | -15 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Paysandu PA is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )
