New England Revolution vs San Jose Earthquakes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New England Revolution - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
0:0
17/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New England Revolution - San Jose Earthquakes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.251.45
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
78% (325/416)73% (249/341)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.251.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.030.11
Total shots
812
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
70
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
78% (325/416)73% (249/341)
Long passes
42% (27/65)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
60% (52/86)51% (37/73)
Crosses
22% (2/9)53% (8/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.03
Throw-ins
2518
Fouls
1416
Tackles
64% (14/22)76% (13/17)
Duels won
6155
Clearances
1111
Interceptions
416
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.110.03
Goals prevented
0.110.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Ceballos B. 🟨,
  • 32', Campana L. , Diaz L. ,
  • 35', Floriani M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Daniel , Edwards E. ,
  • 59', Pellegrino A. , Bouda O. ,
  • 59', Fernandez N. , Leroux B. ,
  • 59', Ricketts J. , Jones D. ,
  • 65', Beason T. 🟨,
  • 76', Feingold I. , Bye B. ,
  • 76', Ganago I. , Urruti M. ,
  • 78', Leroux B. 🟨,
  • 82', Lima N. 🟨,
  • 84', Beason T. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 86', Marie P. , Martinez J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New England Revolution
58.5%
Draw
21.4%
San Jose Earthquakes
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 26.5% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 24.9% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New England Revolution's performance.
  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Jose Earthquakes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New England Revolution that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Earthquakes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New England Revolution - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (2.3)
    4.47
    (3.5)
    4.74
    (2.8)
    4.1%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for New England Revolution - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: New England Revolution will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New England Revolution will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 2.
    • New England has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Jose is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, New England has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, New England is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in New England: Fry M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Lower-Body Injury) Tsakiris N. (Lower-Body Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Chancalay T. (Groin Injury) Langoni L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New England won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New England won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22133646:301642
    2Minnesota United22117439:251440
    3Vancouver Whitecaps21115535:251038
    4Seattle Sounders2196631:28333
    5Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    6Los Angeles FC1995535:241132
    7Colorado Rapids23851027:33-629
    8San Jose Earthquakes2277842:37528
    9Austin FC2176815:23-827
    10Houston Dynamo22751029:35-626
    11Real Salt Lake21741023:28-525
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas21561027:39-1221
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy22361324:43-1915


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union22134537:211643
    2FC Cincinnati22133635:31442
    3Nashville SC22125538:251341
    4Columbus Crew22118338:29941
    5Inter Miami19115344:301438
    6Orlando City2298540:291135
    7New York City2194827:24331
    8New York Red Bulls2286833:27630
    9Charlotte22921136:36029
    10Chicago Fire2184940:38228
    11New England Revolution2167826:25125
    12Atlanta Utd21471023:38-1519
    13DC United22471118:41-2319
    14Toronto FC21461124:29-518
    15CF Montreal22361319:41-2215

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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