Result
3:4
29/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (370/435) | 84% (390/463) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.46 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.33 | 2.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 14 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 22 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
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| 19 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (370/435) | 84% (390/463) |
| Long passes |
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| 50% (31/62) | 42% (22/52) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 68% (92/135) | 70% (67/96) |
| Crosses |
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| 35% (6/17) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.38 | 1.36 |
| Throw ins |
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| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Tackles |
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| 67% (2/3) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 48 |
| Clearances |
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| 22 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.63 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -1.37 | -1.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 1', Guske C. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Fry M. ⚽, Klein E. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Iago Teodoro ⚽, Tiago (A),
- 37', 2 - 1, Farrell A. ⚽, Dahlin G. (A),
- 39', 2 - 2, Dorsey G. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
- 41', Gomez I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Tiago ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
- 58', 3 - 2, Zambrano M. ⚽,
- 67', Dorsey G. ↓, Taifi Z. ↑,
- 67', Ojeda B. ↓, Jansson R. ↑,
- 67', Angulo I. ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
- 70', 3 - 3, Ellis J. ⚽,
- 78', Fagundez D. 🟨,
- 78', Fagundez D. ↓, Mussenden J. ↑,
- 83', McIntosh D. ↓, Mimy S. ↑,
- 88', Oyirwoth A. 🟨,
- 89', Oliveira C. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 4, Taifi Z. ⚽,
- 90+4', Gomez I. ↓, Reid-Brown T. ↑,
Chances of winning
New England Revolution
31% | Draw
22.5% | Orlando City
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New England Revolution's form might have worsened.Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New England Revolution, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
New England Revolution - Orlando City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↑
(2.44) |
4.19 ↑
(3.45) |
2.09 ↓
(2.59) |
4.7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for New England Revolution - Orlando City?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Orlando City will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for New England: 42.8% – 90.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New England Revolution will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 0.
- New England has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Orlando City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- New England may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- New England might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New England won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 40:45. (average 2:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, New England won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has New England Revolution won against Orlando City?
New England Revolution has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against New England Revolution?
Orlando City has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New England Revolution - Orlando City were as follows:
19.07.2025
New England Revolution
-
Orlando City
1:2
10.05.2025
Orlando City
-
New England Revolution
3:3
14.09.2024
Orlando City
-
New England Revolution
3:0
13.07.2024
New England Revolution
-
Orlando City
1:3
10.02.2024
New England Revolution
-
Orlando City
1:3
Latest results of New England Revolution
Latest results of Orlando City
Draw
20261/64-finals| 1 | FC Naples | Red Force | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Tormenta | America CFL Spurs (WO.) | |
| 4 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 5 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 7 | Rhode Island | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
| 8 | Motown | Hartford Athletic | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Chattanooga | Kalonji | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Tennessee Tempo | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 13 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 15 | Charlotte Independ. | Ristozi | 4 : 1 |
| 16 | Charleston | Florida Badgers | 2 : 1 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | Northern Virginia | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 21 | DC United | Bye | |
| 23 | Asheville City | Greenville | 3 : 1 |
| 24 | Vistula | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
| 25 | Vermont Green | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 0 |
| 26 | Westchester SC | NY Renegades | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | New York City | |
| 29 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 31 | Steel City | Pittsburgh | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Carolina Core | Virginia Dream | 1 : 2 |
| 33 | Flint City | Forward Madison | 2 : 0 |
| 34 | Detroit | Michigan Rangers | 5 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 37 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 39 | San Antonio | New Stars | 6 : 0 |
| 40 | Little Rock Rangers | FC Tulsa | 2 : 4 |
| 41 | Lexington | Flower City Union | 9 : 0 |
| 42 | Louisville City | Southern Indiana | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 45 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 47 | New Mexico | Cruizers | 3 : 2 |
| 48 | Laredo Heat | El Paso | 0 : 2 |
| 49 | Colorado Springs | Azteca | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Ventura | Spokane Velocity | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 53 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 55 | Indy Eleven | Menace | 3 : 0 |
| 56 | BOHFS St. Louis | Union Omaha | 0 : 8 |
| 57 | AV Alta | Valley 559 FC | 0 : 1 |
| 58 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 61 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 63 | Orange County SC | Laguna United | 3 : 0 |
| 64 | Phoenix Rising | San Ramon | 4 : 0 |
1/32-finals| 1 | FC Naples | America CFL Spurs | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 3 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 4 | Rhode Island | Hartford Athletic | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | Tennessee Tempo | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 7 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 8 | Charlotte Independ. | Charleston | 3 : 2 |
| 9 | Richmond Kickers | Loudoun | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 11 | DC United | Bye | |
| 12 | Asheville City | One Knoxville | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Vermont Green | Westchester SC | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Bye | New York City | |
| 15 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 16 | Pittsburgh | Virginia Dream | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Flint City | Detroit | 0 : 1 |
| 18 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 19 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 20 | San Antonio | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
| 21 | Lexington | Louisville City | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 23 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 24 | New Mexico | El Paso | 0 : 4 |
| 25 | Colorado Springs | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 28 | Indy Eleven | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Valley 559 FC | Sacramento Republic | 0 : 4 |
| 30 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 31 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 32 | Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | FC Naples | Orlando City | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | Rhode Island | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | Atlanta Utd | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Charlotte | Charlotte Independ. | 6 : 0 |
| 5 | Richmond Kickers | Columbus Crew | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | DC United | One Knoxville | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | Westchester SC | New York City | 2 : 5 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | Pittsburgh | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Detroit | Chicago Fire | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | St. Louis City | FC Tulsa | 4 : 0 |
| 11 | Louisville City | Austin FC | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | El Paso | 4 : 1 |
| 13 | Colorado Springs | Sporting Kansas City | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | Union Omaha | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Sacramento Republic | Minnesota United | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | San Jose Earthquakes | Phoenix Rising | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Orlando City | New England Revolution | 4 : 3 |
| 2 | Atlanta Utd | Charlotte | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | One Knoxville | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | New York City | New York Red Bulls | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | St. Louis City | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Louisville City | Houston Dynamo | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | Colorado Rapids | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Orlando City | Atlanta Utd | |
| 2 | Columbus Crew | New York City | |
| 3 | St. Louis City | Houston Dynamo | |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | San Jose Earthquakes | |
Semi-finalsFinal
